Comments by RonJax2 (page 12)

^ I'm sorry I don't speak QAnon @mogul, like I have no idea what the star chamber is. Can you summarize your points and maybe provide some evidence to back them up?

> Putin invaded Crimea and Georgia under Obama And in 2017 and 2018 Putin was focused on slaughtering civilians in Aleppo, which Trump did virtually nothing about: https://www.britannica.com/event/Syrian-Civil-War/Civil-war And when exactly do you think Putin's invasion of Ukraine was planned? Recall that Trump tried to interfere with aid to Ukraine during his presidency, in fact he was impeached for it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_impeachment_of_Donald_Trump The timing of the Ukraine invasion though had more to do with Xi Jinping wanting Putin to wait until after the Beijing Olympics. But it was Trump who emboldened Putin with his obstruction of congress and frequent talk of dismantling NATO. It will be free reign for the world's autocrats if Trump is in charge again. Recall that Trump once said he "loves" Xi Jinping. https://www.politico.eu/article/trump-on-chinas-xi-we-love-each-other/

@5foot > Covid and the fallout was the cause for the inflation. There's no question about that. The fact remains that the vast majority of COVID spending occurred on Trump's watch: https://www.pandemicoversight.gov/about-us/pandemic-relief-program-laws. And I think a lot of that money could have been spent better, or not spent at all, thus lessening the impending blow of inflation. The PPP, which cost half trillion, was basically a hand out to the rich, for example. I'm thankful that Biden was able to take inflation down. Biden's major post-Covid legislative accomplishment, the IRA, reduced the deficit by $238 billion: https://www.crfb.org/blogs/cbo-scores-ira-238-billion-deficit-reduction > I'll take kowtowing all day long. Good to know. I'm fed up with the kowtowing to autocrats. I'm talking about incidents like Trump going to the Helsinki summit and siding with Putin over our intelligence services: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-44852812 Or the time he fucking crossed the Korean DMZ to shake hands with Kim Jung Un, with no preconditions, which encouraged the DPRK to continue to test missiles: https://www.voanews.com/a/east-asia-pacific_north-korea-tests-more-missiles-violating-pledge-trump/6174477.html >> he's senile. > Ron. you're trolling, right? Not at all. I've been watching his stump speeches. I saw his rambling convention speech. He's losing it. Just listen to the man yourself: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3W0p_yHk10I He's been delusion for a while. Too many incidents to name, but remember this: https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1536/cpsprodpb/8657/production/_108619343_hi056250355.jpg.webp The question for Trump is whether he'll show the same graciousness and step down due to his age at fitness, now that Biden has done so. I doubt it, because the Republican party as it exists is a cult-of-personality which will quickly deflate without him.

^ Oh and another good (and pretty cheap) way to spend time with a HK chica is to offer to take her to dinner or lunch at Restaurante Azul, HK's adjoining restaurant. I've found that to be a high value play after a good arriba. Like @jascoi says, have fun.

> just wondering what the experience is like at HK It's amazing. Prepare yourself for the fact that you won't want to just check this one off your bucket list. You'll want to go back. > settled on getting a room overnight Good decision. > what the club itself is like I'll put a ton of effort into describing the club, it's areas and how to navigate them in this review: https://tuscl.net/review/413707 > how long do you get a girl for if you take her to your room? > I’ve seen the price varies from $100 to $150 but how long would that usually buy you? The quotes of $100-150 are for half hour sessions. You can negotiate for longer, you might get quotes of $200-300 for hour sessions and $300-400 for 2 hour sessions. Note that the club will assess a bar fine of $110 for every hour over 1 hour. And there are other ways to hang out with a girl for longer. You can keep buying her fichas and offering propinas. You can take her for a privado, which I believe is like ~$25 for a song. And you could also take her to a VIP room, which costs all-in around $200 per hour including a tip to her.

> @ww This was what I read that said the virtual vote was off: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4777118-dnc-joe-biden-virtual-roll-call/. But lots of other news outlets today are still talking about it. I also read, and I can't immediately find the source, that there was a solution for the Ohio ballot. I think a key indicator here will be IF they hold that vote. I think they'll do that if the party coalesces around Kamala. If they don't hold that vote on the 5th, the field will be open. It's going to be a wild month for sure. @Puddy > Oh and they were on track for a good sized loss under Biden. Biden was the underdog in the race, for sure. Yet it was as close one and he was far from losing it. 538 was calling a 54% chance of his win, Nate Silver as low as 30%. (As I've said before, I trust Nate's model more than 538's.) Still a 30% chance isn't insignificant. That's like the chances that the underdog football team wins a championship, which happens often. I think Republicans have been euphoric this week have been blindly overestimating their own chances. And that was before Biden dropped out. I think all bets are off now. Trump has a low ceiling, he's grossly unpopular with Americans, and I would expect to see some significant downward movement in his odds of winning once Kamala starts wielding the Roe cannon.

@ww I thought the virtual roll call was already canceled, am I misinformed?

I was just watching CNN and they reported that Kamala and Biden spoke this morning. Not to try to separate a right winger from his beloved conspiracy theories but I think the simple fact is, this was a decision he had to make quickly. He did and made the right decision.

Trump's presidency was a disaster for America. He ran up a huge deficit with tax cuts for the rich (even before his gargantuan pandemic spending) which was the driving factor in the inflation the Biden administration had to tame. Trump kowtowed to foreign autocrats like Putin and Kim Jong Un. And he tried to overthrow our republic on his way out (and still refuses to accept the results of the last election.) Not to mention, he's senile. Have you seen his stump speeches lately? Sharks and electrocutions and shit? He will be a puppet for dangerous far right religious extremists. I don't know if the Dem nominee will be Harris. She's the front runner right now, but I don't think we'll know for sure until August 19th. I think Newsom and Whitmer are in the second tier of contenders, in terms of likelihood. And then there's a slew of Dark Horse candidates candidates including Shapiro, Buttigieg, Kelly and others who could show up as uniters of the party in late ballot scenario of a brokered convention. Any of these candidates would be better than Trump.

Ah, got it. I was asking because I was curious of the Cubana revolution of US strip clubs had made it that far north yet. (Last time I was at Flight & LS, it hadn't.) Anyway, thanks again for the review. You're a lucky man to have a wife down for a trip to LS!

I've met up with other TUSCLers a few times. Understand, there's not a ton of us who are active, and it's a big country. So finding another TUSCLer in any given area at any given time is tougher than you'd expect. Be active in the discussions in your area and invite others to meet you, is all I would suggest, basically what others have already said.

Because you’re just reblogging this assholes nonsense… giving him the attention he’s seeking

I wish shit like that would get you banned from TUSCL. It would get you banned or suspended from most major social media platforms. Calling for violence against someone is completely inappropriate.

I've only been to SR once recently, but I had to buy VIP drinks after we already bought a bottle for the table.

Nice review OP. How much English did your Latina dancer speak?

^ I'm with sausage, here. 2 people, 2 covers. If I go to the club with a group of 4 dudes we pay 4x. Why would a club want to let ladies in free?

I think most cubanas have left Cuba because they dislike communism, I don’t think this would go over well

@BookGuy > if a 10 is so-and-so number of standard deviations from the norm, what is a UNIT? Yeah, I mean, that's the essential question though and what I'm driving at. I think this depends on the PL! For frame of reference a standard deviation is the square root of the Variance of a set of data. The Variance is the average of the squared differences of all values from the Mean. See here (the visual explanations might help): https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-normal-distribution.html It's a useful unit of measurement for data that fits a bell curve, like a group of people's IQ or Height. For such data: * 68% of the data will fall within plus or minus 1 standard deviation * 96% of the data will fall within +/- 2 std deviations * 99.7% of the data will fall within +/- 3 std deviations I think a lot of mongers use a ranking system intuitively based on standard deviations, maybe something like like: * A 5 is average * A 6 is 0.5 standard deviations more attractive * A 7 is 1 std dev * An 8 is 1.5 std dev * A 9 is 2 std dev * A 10 is 2.5 std deviations more attractive With a system like that, less than 0.5% of women are 10s, and you need to look to Hollywood or the runways of Milan to find women who are a 10. They aren't in the club. I tend to use a percentile system when ranking women: * 5 is average * 6 is 50-60th percentile * 7 is 60-70th percentile * 8 is 70-80th percentile * 9 is 80th-90th percentile * 10 is 90+ percentile By this system, 1 out of every 10 women is a 10. Which is not at all uncommon in the club. The other question here is, who is our population? I tend to rate women's attractiveness relative to other women *of child bearing age*. So I throw out all the grannies and overweight 50 year olds when I'm thinking about rankings. A 10, for me, means she's more attractive than 90+ % of all women of child bearing age. Other people tend to rank dancers relative to other dancers. (In this case, a 5 would be an "average dancer".) And then others tend to rank dancers relative to ALL women. In which case, a 5 would might be a slightly overweight 45 year old. With all that said, I think an effort post with lots of illustrations diving deeper into how we rank women would be interesting.

I'm going with Bo, based alone on the two pictures.

@bookguy and @5foot.... Interesting that you guys would agree that you can't find a 10 in a strip club. I think I may use a different rubric for ranking. On a normal distribution curve, 10 would mean 90th percentile to me. That's pretty common, and you can definitely find a 10 in the right club. You all might consider a 10 like 2 standard deviations from the norm, which I would agree would be impossible to find in a club. I feel like a post or article about rankings with different bell curves and examples would be interesting. Anyway, to answer by my own rubric, a 5 or 6 would be too low for me, I'd prefer the 9/10. But an enthusiastic 7 or 8 over a 9/10, I'd take.

Schmoe, I'm really enjoying reading about all your European exploits, even if this one sounds like a bust. Thanks for TOFTT. I'm wondering if you'll be hitting any FKKs on this trip?

What bar? Didn't you post the same thing yesterday?

Where are you guys finding Russian dancers?

FWIW, I'm much more skeptical of betting markets than I am of poll-based models. 538's model right now has Biden at a 54% of winning. Nate Silver, 538's founder who has since left and has his own model (that you have to pay for), gives Biden a 30% chance of winning. Though I don't like the news Nate carries, I have more faith in his model than that of his former colleagues. Nate knows his shit. The problem Trump faces is he has a very low ceiling, due to a number of liabilities, such as Roe, a felony conviction and attempting to overturn the last election. He has a very energized base but that alone won't be enough to prevail in November. If there's a high turnout election, he'll lose. His best hope is that Biden stays in the race and Dem enthusiasm is low. A new candidate, whether it's Kamala, Newsom or someone else will be a game changer. Watch if this happens, suddenly Trump's age will be a seriously liability, and every week will be shark week.

This news also just dropped: Obama tells allies Biden needs to seriously consider his viability | https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/18/obama-says-biden-must-consider-viability/ And the other tea leaf is the DNC postponing the virtual roll call vote. Which gives the party more time to maneuver on a replacement candidate. I think it was another thread I said this in, but my prediction has always been that Obama would be the one to tip the scales. I thought it unlikely that Biden would drop out last week, now I'm thinking it's likely with Obama weighing in. I think the two of them do have a solid relationship and Obama is one of the few people that has the gravitas to actually make a sitting POTUS listen. Betting markets have the odds of Biden dropping out at 67% right now.