discussion comment
5 years ago
Countdown to Inverted Yield Curve^^ Let's vote in Andrew Yang.
It will be interesting to see the Conference Board's LEI this month, it was flat 2 months ago and down last month. If it's down again then we will have three major signs of a coming recession: Inverted yield curve, leading economic index going down, and major declines in tax receipts on corporate income. You just watch, that really low unemployment number is going to start to creeping upwards.
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5 years ago
Countdown to Inverted Yield CurveUS Treasury
10Y yld minus 2Y yld
Countdown to 0.00%
2/02/15 — 1.19%
8/29/16 — 0.76%
1/03/18 — 0.50%
4/17/18 — 0.41%
6/14/18 — 0.35%
7/11/18 — 0.27%
8/27/18 — 0.18%
8/13/19 — 0.02%
8/14/2019 — -0.01% DING DING DING DING.
/THREAD
discussion comment
5 years ago
Countdown to Inverted Yield CurveUS Treasury
10Y yld minus 2Y yld
Countdown to 0.00%
2/02/15 — 1.19%
8/29/16 — 0.76%
1/03/18 — 0.50%
4/17/18 — 0.41%
6/14/18 — 0.35%
7/11/18 — 0.27%
8/27/18 — 0.18%
8/13/19 — 0.02%!!!!!!
discussion comment
5 years ago
Aesthetically, what type of girl do you go for?Young, skinny, pretty.
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5 years ago
Papi_ChuloMiami, FL (or the nearest big-booty club)
OT: The value of timeThe practical reality of this theory is a little more nuanced due to the presence of business cycles, booms and busts in the market. It's not a boring roller coaster!
If a person decides to start investing at age 19, he might be lucky and begin his investing career at the bottom of the market, e.g. 2002 or 2009. But, he also might be unlucky, and begin his investing at the top of the market, e.g. 2000 or 2008.
It has been shown that the performance of your portfolio during the first few years of your investing career has a significant impact on its balance in later life.
Moral of this lesson is that it actually CAN be smarter to simply SAVE and wait to invest if you are convinced that you are at a market top. How can you tell? Use the indicators that are available. Leading Economic Indicators, CAPE ratio / PE ratio, corporate tax receipts chart, unemployment level, etc.
discussion comment
5 years ago
Canada - Montreal and Toronto - Or too good to be true?I don't think the main attraction for mongers in those Canadian cities is strippers... probably more about the escorts, because prostitution is practically legal there.
It is a good destination though. The USD/CAD exchange rate is pretty good, and there's not much of a language barrier because English is so prevalent. If you're more attracted to the French Canadian look than the Hispanic, then it's probably better than Tijuana.
No clubs in Canada like HK, though...
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5 years ago
CristobalI give in to sin because you have to make this life livable
Porn vs The Real Thing^^ kinda makes me think that maybe a restriction better than "must be 18 or older" would be "only for handicapped or non-virgins"
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5 years ago
san_jose_guymoney was invented for handing to women, but buying dances is a chump's game
UBI ( Universal Basic Income )As far as I know, Andrew Yang is the only presidential candidate who is actually running on the promise of enacting full-blown universal basic income. Not just an expanded welfare system, a truly universal income given to every American citizen (over 18 yrs old) on a monthly basis.
Mr. Yang is debating some other candidates tonight. Let's hope one of the moderators asks a question about UBI to see how they all respond.
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5 years ago
[OT] Video Games@Liwet, to each their own. I think Civ6 is pretty great by itself, so $18 for dozens of hours of play time seems like a sweet deal. Although, I only play single player. I’ve read that most online multiplayer is on GS, so I guess that makes sense if you’re holding out for that.
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5 years ago
Tell your Story - Your first sexual intercourse.I was 25 years old. I was in bed with an escort at a hotel in Miami. She sucked my dick and I came in her mouth.
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5 years ago
[OT] Video Games@Liwet, Civ VI for $18 here: https://www.wingamestore.com/product/5698/Sid-Meiers-Civilization-VI/
I got mine for the same price on Newegg, but their sale has ended.
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5 years ago
What cologne are you wearing in 2019?It's not a new cologne, but I finally bought Armani Code.
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5 years ago
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
FREE LEGAL ADVICE PART 9"free legal advice" ... "It should not be relied upon as legal advice."
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5 years ago
Rejected review and my message to FounderThe review is terrible.
"I stopped by the other night hoping to see Olivia again..."
- Who the fuck is Olivia? If you read a book that just starting talking about some people with any description or history or context, you'd throw the book away!
"Paid my cover and took a seat in the center of the room so I would have a good view of the stage..."
- How much was the fucking cover charge?! Do you think I read reviews just to read about YOU? What the fuck? I read reviews for information, dumbass! And then you took a seat in the center of the room.... what, was there just one chair in the middle of an empty room, and stage? That's it? A chair, and a stage, in a room. Give us something! How were the seats arranged, were there any tables, were the seats comfortable, where was the bar in relation to the room, where was the bar in relation to the stage, how big was the stage, how many polls were there, how high were the ceilings, how was the lighting, how was the music, was there a DJ? So many questions, ZERO ANSWERS!
"When I ordered my drink from the waitress,"
- How much did you pay for the fucking drink, and what was the drink??! Was the waitress cute? Did she take a long time getting your drink or was it immediate service?
I could go on. But seriously, the entire review really reads as an accounting of your own personal and subjective experience. That is not what the reviews are for! I want useful information that will allow me to make an informed decision about whether or not I should go to the club!
Your review deserved the rejection that it received.
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5 years ago
Founder? Any chance we will see the return of the top 40 lists anytime soon?I agree. Founder, I've been making comments for several years about statistics. This site is probably sitting on a mountain of data that's just waiting to be analyzed.
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5 years ago
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
ICEY LOCO'S GUIDE TO LAS VEGAS.... ASK WHATEVER YOU WANTIf I want to get my dick sucked in a strip club or hotel, am I better off staying put here in Pennsylvania or are those opportunities in much greater abundance in Las Vegas? Which clubs?
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5 years ago
loganshardLogans Hard in NYC. Dreaming of Spinners Since, Well, Forever
Best Clubs in Philly??Depends what you like. If you like big fat asses then pretty much any place will satisfy. If you like girls who are actually attractive then Delilah's is the best for that.
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5 years ago
New guyWelcome, new guy. We are all “preverts” here.
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5 years ago
New guyThat’s something I still want to learn how to do, is get extras at a club that is generally non-extras. Sure, at a club that’s known for offering extra, it’s easy, they do everything for you. But to do OTC with a girl from a non-extras club? Idk if that’s just from practice or a big wallet or grey hairs or all three.
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5 years ago
Clubs Using a Scale to Weigh Dancers for EmploymentThey should calculate every girl's BMI during interview/audition. Nobody should be working with a BMI over 23, and most girls should be have BMI under 19.
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5 years ago
[OT] Is current level of porn consumption just a phase?@CJ
Yea, I know porn has different forms and there was erotic art even in ancient times. I was referring to any medium that is at least as graphic/stimulating as video (e.g. SD video, HD video, virtual reality, etc.)
My thoughts are more along the lines of what Icey wrote, about how it affects people and their views about sex. How it affects culture, birthrates, etc. If there is ever some kind of crisis that is caused, at least in part, by pornography consumption, then I wonder if porn might someday be outlawed. (Isn't it already illegal in China?)
I will likely join you on a similar quest for my own Holy Grail, similar to yours. Although, that probably won't be for some time. I like keeping my $$$, at least for now. Especially while Bitcoin is in a bull market...
P.S. Louis CK is hilarious. I hope he makes a new special soon.
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5 years ago
OT- Public Service Announcement: Bitcoin is back, and revving its engines.^^^ Hey SJG, that "Ponzi Scheme" [sarcasm] got me a 36% return on a $23k investment... in 2 months. Bitcoin hit a new high today while I was out shopping, my investment grew by another $1k, so I decided to by myself a little gift.
So, you can go suck my Ponzi-scheming dick.
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5 years ago
I am depressedTry carnivore diet.
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5 years ago
Swearing may make you physically strongermakes sense. Swearing actually decreases pain levels, and grunting or yelling during a lift makes you stronger.
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5 years ago
CJKent (Banned)“The more a person needs to be right, the less certain he is...”
OT: An alternative to the Waifu Pillows sex partners;,life size realistic silico"But I still say that having a pillow as an imaginary friend qualifies as a sex life just as much as necrophilia and bestiality."
- That's fair. I wouldn't say that the three are equally strange or equally taboo, though. In fact, if the quality of a "sex life" is measured by the difficulty with which it is achieved (e.g. having 5 plates who are all 10s is more difficult than having 2 plates who are both 4s), then I think sex with dead people and sex with animals may be a greater sex life than sex with a pillow, merely due to the fact that those two are far more difficult to achieve than fucking a pillow. I mean... most people sleep on top of a pillow every single night they go to bed. Fucking a pillow is easier than fucking a girl. It's also easier than fucking one of these $2000 sex dolls.
"There's a difference between sticking your dick in something til you cum and having sex with someone. "
- Absolutely. No argument there, sex with a person is very different. My argument is simply about semantics: what should be considered "sex" and what shouldn't. Not about the quality of sex, or the magnitude.
FYI, some people and some organizations consider masturbation to be a form of sex. Here I quote a government website: "Masturbation is a safer form of sex that carries no risk of sexually transmissible infection or unplanned pregnancy."