I'm going to change my statement about not adding to this thread, in part because rickdugan is actually engaging in a discussion without complaining that I'm trolling him. Maybe I'm wrong about the guy. Who knows.
This thread had a narrow and kind of geeky focus. I was just making the point that the country could change the electoral college without a constitutional amendment. More accurately, it could retain the electoral system but adjust how those votes were cast to match the popular vote.
rickdugan and JimGassigan, I wonder how much of your response depends on the fact that this election outcome matched your desires and your favored party (which I'm presuming to be Republican based on implications) is favored by the college.
I'll say two things about that. First, before I read the Nate Silver piece I thought the electoral college favored Republicans. Silver convinced me that wasn't true. Twice the election has split and favored Republicans. Might not happen that way time the third time. Silver's analysis suggest it could be fairly random if the popular vote is close and elections are likely to be close for a while. Second, why is appealing to diverse groups nationwide more important than appealing to diverse groups within cities, where most of the population lives?
My argument is that candidates should appeal to everybody, as much as possible. Right now winning big in the Midwest and Southeast can clearly give you a win without winning the most votes. There may be other combinations that favor Democrats. Silver's analysis suggest that is the case.
So my point is not this election, which is done and won by Trump. It's that me may be in for more of these splits and the favored party will be arbitrary. Is that a good idea?
Clubber, the point was that the states could change the outcome of the electoral college in a perfectly constitutional manner. One route to changing to a popular vote is an amendment. The other is this compact. This compact is (based on my understanding) constitutional and it is actually based on states rights. If enough state legislaturess decide to do it they should have the right to do it.
Right now this is favored by Democratic states. My reading of Silver's analysis is that it would be good for solidly Republican states too. The only states it isn't good for is swing states.
Not sure what the ignore statement is about.
dallas702, about half the states do compel electors to vote the way their legislature tells them. Or they face a penalty. The penalty is modest in Washington but I don't know elsewhere. This is an academic thread so I don't have the extra energy to check (the Washington penalty was in the news). Maybe those laws are unconstitutional, I don't know if they have been tested in the courts. But they exist.
Regardless, this is not an objection to this system or any other system of allocating electoral votes. In practice, electors typically vote they way the "should" based on the current system. Why would electors en masse change their behavior if the system changed?
Regardless, a faithless elector that flipped an election would be the least popular person in America for (minimally) half of the voting population. That strikes me as pressure to make the system work.