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5 years ago
^^ I'm sure you know that Dershowitz insisted that Clinton's behavior was impeachable even though Clinton didn't commit any actual crimes. So what made him change his mind 22 years later? Money? Fame? Or is Dershowitz just an aging buffoon.
I'm not a constitutional lawyer and either are you. I'm absolutely convinced that Trump used taxpayer money to bribe a foreign government into digging up dirt on his rival. Clinton lied about having a consensual affair with an intern (which is more benign than anything you or I have done). There's no rhyme or reason to Dershowitz's attitude.
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5 years ago
^^ As I said before I've been following Harvard Law Prof Laurence Tribe on the question of whether Trump's actions are impeachable. He has many famous students like chief justice Roberts and Schiff who's proven to be a remarkable lawyer. Can you name anyone of similar stature? Please don't name that buffoon Dershowitz.
The study I quoted is from a non-profit, but definitely anti-Trump.
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5 years ago
@FTS- I watched most of the Peter Schiff video and I think he's a smart guy. I remember Schiff and Shiller were predicting a collapse in the housing market well before it actually happened.
My (admittedly naive) interpretation of QE is that it successfully reduced interest rates and caused people to pile into stocks. There's something like $4 trillion of QE still on the Fed books and the unwinding, I would think, would depress the stock market. And the implications for gold and mining stocks are also obvious. I do have some gold stocks -- but I'm too chicken-shit to have much.
Another macro trend is that boomers are going to be retiring and cashing in their stocks which, I would think, would also depress the market. And we've already discussed that the market is simply over valued if you look at the CAPE.
I follow Shiller on Twitter (respect him enormously) and he recently gave this interview at Davos:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iVO-uMuiR9M
His latest book is about how viral stories influence the stock market and he brings up examples from the 2008 downturn, to Bitcoin, to Donald Trump. You can be the greatest mathematician and try your best to predict the markets -- but a lot of stock market behavior is driven by *irrational* human behavior and stories that go viral. I didn't post this because of his Bitcoin example and it's not meant to contradict anything you've posted.
As Shiller points out, Trump is an absolute master of manipulating the media and coming up with horseshit stories that capture the imagination or ordinary people and that go viral. Trump has a very intuitive, visceral, understanding of human behavior. Social media, Fox, etc...makes things even worse.
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5 years ago
Strange thread
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5 years ago
MLK, JFK, John McCain, maybe. Pro sports icon? Not a chance.
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5 years ago
No I've been taking money out of the market. You forgot to mention trillions of treasuries and mortgage backed securities the fed bought during the crisis that still needs to be unwound.
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5 years ago
Dugan -
The list of law professors contains scholars from top law schools like Yale, Harvard, Columbia, Berkeley. For example Laurence Tribe who had students like John Roberts.
But seeing as you're someone who's spent his entire adult life perfecting the art of paying hookers for sex, I should value your opinion on constitutional law.
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5 years ago
List of 500 constitutional law professors who say Trump's actions are impeachable.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/more-than-500-law-professors-say-trump-committed-impeachable-conduct/2019/12/06/35259c16-183a-11ea-a659-7d69641c6ff7_story.html
...but if someone on TUSCL disagrees that's the end of the argument.
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5 years ago
Yes, @Clubber, the whole intent of the impeachment process was to overturn the election. Thanks for pointing that out.
Public opinion polls have hardly budged during the whole process, start to finish. I don't think the impeachment process will matter either way. However it fires-up Trump's base. Just saw pickup truck at the gym with laser-printed message accusing Schiff, Pelosi of treason. Lol.
Only a few states that are really in contention: Arizona, Pennsylvania, Ohio. If Trump wins PA, it's probably over for the Dems.
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5 years ago
Notice that I quoted the WSJ as a conservative publication that does a good job of separating news from editorial content. You would never find that kind of content coming from Fox
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5 years ago
There's a very strong "diploma gap" with college-educated voters leaving the GOP in droves.
You can look here
https://www.wsj.com/articles/midterm-results-point-to-a-new-divide-in-politics-education-1541865601
or here
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/11/11/poorly-educated-voters-hold-the-keys-to-the-white-house
or here
https://www.theatlantic.com/education/archive/2018/11/education-gap-explains-american-politics/575113/
The movement in voting patterns is all about racial resentment and a response to the election of a black president. I wouldn't expect you to follow the discussion, @Meathead.
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5 years ago
As far as the trial goes,
"The democrats are relying on facts, but the republicans are relying on Fox"
--Maureen Dowd
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5 years ago
When looking for news sources I look at the number of Pulitzer Prize winners and top goes to (in order) (1) NY times (2) WaPo(4) AP (5) LA Times (6) WSJ with NY Times having twice as many Pulizers as 2nd place WaPo. All of these do a decent job of separating news from editorial content. They all live and die by getting the facts straight.
I currently have paid subscriptions to NY Times, WaPo, and Economist. I grew up in metro LA and it would arrive in paper form every day while growing up. LA Times changed hands, but it used to be a terrific news source. I had paid subscription to WSJ for decades and it's a good source of news, especially foreign policy.
Authoritarian regimes either own the news or they have success manipulating the news. Trump is a master at manipulating the media and Fox has become the official mouthpiece for Trump propaganda. It's a real problem because Trump lies *constantly* and everything he says needs to be fact-checked. Agree completely with @Esta and it's a very big problem as the country slides into chaos.
Nate Silver at 538 has gained a lot of praise for his statistics-based reporting and data-science skills applied to polling. Rassmussen has was one of the worst records for right-wing bias and Silver adjusts the Rassmussen results based on their on their past predictive performance. Rassmussen gets a rating of C+ over on 538. Fox News polling actually isn't bad.
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5 years ago
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Papi_ChuloMiami, FL (or the nearest big-booty club)
I was going to suggest youtube, also, for DIY. For example,recently changed out a garbage disposal which was easy but looked overwhelming at first.
I use a combination of BBB, Google reviews, Nextdoor, and actual neighbor recommendations for other things.
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5 years ago
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gStephThe view from the other side of the room
Congrats, but holding on to mortgage debt is not always bad. If you have a low fixed-rate mortgage and you consider the mortgage tax breaks you can make more by investing the money somewhere else. And if interests rise (as they surely will at some point) that fixed-rate mortgage debt becomes even more attractive.
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5 years ago
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CJKent (Banned)“The more a person needs to be right, the less certain he is...”
You posted quote without any attribution. Do you understand? You didn't tell us who is responsible for the quote.
Of course you're not as goofy as @Mark94 who plagiarizes entire paragraphs from sources like the NY Times without any quotes.
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5 years ago
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TiburonEvery woman's local ATM while in da club? How else they paying for their Boob jobs?
@WendiStarr: "...wasting your time for free, trying to get you to go home with them and sleep with them for free so they can brag about it on tuscl"
________________
Silly girl -- that's not quite accurate. On TUSCL we *pay* them for sex and brag about it, anyway.
I checked out SW about five years ago and I haven't been back since. Over-moderated and a thoroughly boring train wreck of a site.
That thread is insulting for other obvious reasons.
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5 years ago
I never masturbate like the rest of you, so that's not an issue. \sarcasm
Adding to the above, getting a good nights sleep (no coffee or caffeine day before) might help. It's been proven that testosterone is released during deep sleep.
I also prefer eating light -- nearly fasting -- the day of the date. My reasoning is that it lets blood flow where it's supposed to instead of your digestive tract. Big high-fat meal an hour before sex is probably the worst thing you can do.
Stress is an obvious factor.
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5 years ago
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founderslip a dollar in her g-string for me
I look at the problem as a breakdown in getting actual news and actual facts. For example some people insist that Obama was born in Kenya and that the global consensus of 97% of climate scientists is hoax. How do you reason with someone that lives in their own reality?
Trump himself lies with nearly every breath he takes. The Senate's not going to do anything about it. And outlets like Fox News blows horseshit up everyone's ass which fans the flames even more.
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5 years ago
NY times article from 2019 describing how these women are tricked into to coming here and the wretched conditions these AMP workers have to deal with:
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/02/us/massage-parlors-human-trafficking.html
No thanks. The thought of being the 12th guy to fuck some middle-aged, poverty-stricken, girl from a third-wold country is repulsive.
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5 years ago
@Nidan: "@randommemver ... and I though people went there for the cheetos."
_____
Some come here for the legalized weed and the craving for cheetos comes after getting high. Apparently THC-laced Cheetos are available now (Weetos):
https://www.newsweek.com/marijuana-thc-weetos-florida-904270
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5 years ago
Yeah, for some reason Colorado has the lowest obesity rate in the country. People come here for outdoor activities
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5 years ago
OT, the girl in your avatar is amazing, @prevert. You have very good taste.
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5 years ago
^^^ hard to tell whether @Muddey wants a cheap Backpage girl or an SB. Most of the guys on TUSCL are looking for the former.
Reverse-image searches and searching by phone number is incredibly easy to foil with burner phones/apps and and some rudimentary image-processing. Most escorts are not going to agree to one or more *unpaid* dates. If one of these girls agrees to a few unpaid platonic dates and they can talk intelligently about their school major, they're probably not escorts. Although anything's possible.
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5 years ago
@Upright: "The girls I have meet get overwhelmed with messages and you need to grab their attention.. Make It personal."
___________________
There's a 95/5 rule in sugaring where 95% of the guys are chasing the same 5% of the girls. Some of these girls get zero attention and others are swamped with messages. I can assure you that the top 5% are not interested in "meet me at hotel x for $y" messages.
The Reddit sugaring forum is a better place for this kind of topic. It's exploded to over 6Ok members and, more importantly, you can get feedback from the girls.
If you're exaggerating your net worth/income, @Muddy, I would ask yourself whether you can really afford sugaring and whether you'd be better off with escorts or OTC flings. It's an expensive luxury.