discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
gammanu95My casual drinking is your alcohol poisoning.
*premier
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
gammanu95My casual drinking is your alcohol poisoning.
I would assume anything information coming directly from the Trump administration is suspect.
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
gammanu95My casual drinking is your alcohol poisoning.
I would wait for the approval one of our premeir teaching hospitals. A place like Johns Hopkins or Mayo.
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
rickduganVerified and Certifiable Super-Reviewer
I was in Silicon Valley at the time and had a detached view of the events. The images on TV looked unreal -- like something out of a Hollywood movie.
The families and friends of people who died on 9/11 deserve our sympathy.
I do remember indiscriminate US bombing within days of 9/11 and, by some strange logic, we starting a costly war with Iraq even though Al Quida was in Afganistan. History will look at that as a massive fuck-up.
Putting things in perspective, Covid deaths are equivalent to about sixty 9/11s, and Covid has been a far greater national tragedy.
discussion comment
4 years ago
Catastrophic fires are also burning in California and Washington. For those not affected by the direct fire, toxins are seeping into the water supply and an extended area is blanketed with toxic smoke. Colorado's had some fires, too, and the air quality was awful in August.
For the benefit of some of the TUSCL nutcases who deny climate change, the fires are almost certainly the result of climate change:
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/08/20/1007478/california-wildfires-climate-change-heatwaves/
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
@Tetra- What do you expect on a goofy site like this? A 20,000 word essay on sexism in American politics?
Warren's a Harvard Law professor. She was a hero during the financial crisis she deserves a lot of credit for creating the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. She deserves a lot of credit for digging into the weeds and understanding how dogshit mortgages were packaged into securities and sold around the world during the financial crisis. There's no other candidate with comparable knowledge.
I've been here a lot longer than you have. There's undeniable, mindless, sexism and misogyny on this site.
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
"Do you really think conservatives didn't like Warren and HRC just because they're women? "
______________
No, but it probably played some role. The answer is "yes" on TUSCL.
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
"@random, you really think conservatives didn't like Warren and HRC just because they're women? "
_____
On TUSCL there's an undeniable component of sexism and/or mysogeny.
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
^^ Eh..we've been through this before. She's too far to left on health care and taxes. I can dig up articles if you want: Harvard law faculty did not hire her based on anything but her performance. Even in the worst case, it's not that big a deal.
And, yes, I consider myself a moderate.
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
Most of the guys here are not married. I'd be surprised if 10% of the guys are married. Most are lonely single guys.
There's a correlation between strip clubs and right-wing politics. Support for this kind of politics is about 40%, at most, across the country and must be closer to 95% here. You see the outrage at any mention of strong female leaders like Hillary or Warren; after all, women are supposed to clean the dishes and suck your dick; what do you expect from a stripper site?
We do have a few white racists and a few that live in a fantasy world of conspiracy theories.
discussion comment
4 years ago
"Inspector Rune Skjold, the head of the economic crimes section of the Oslo police, said that investigators had been in touch with the F.B.I. since last fall, which suggests that the forged nominations originated in the United States"
Lol, maybe forged by Trump, himself. He is keeping score with Obama.
discussion comment
4 years ago
TUSCL has a truly odd cross-section of the American voting public.
discussion comment
4 years ago
This polling was done less than two weeks ago and shows that active-duty service members prefer Biden:
https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2020/08/31/as-trumps-popularity-slips-in-latest-military-times-poll-more-troops-say-theyll-vote-for-biden/
"The latest Military Times poll shows a continued decline in active-duty service members’ views of President Donald Trump and a slight but significant preference for former Vice President Joe Biden in the upcoming November election among troops surveyed.
The results, collected before the political conventions earlier this month, appear to undercut claims from the president that his support among military members is strong thanks to big defense budget increases in recent years and promised moves to draw down troops from overseas conflict zones.
But the Military Times Polls, surveying active-duty troops in partnership with the Institute for Veterans and Military Families (IVMF) at Syracuse University, have seen a steady drop in troops’ opinion of the commander in chief since his election four years ago."
discussion comment
4 years ago
It is funny, @Londonguy. In fact it's ludicrous.
discussion comment
4 years ago
Trump was nominated by a far-right anti-immigration member of the Norweigian parliament -- a guy who hates Muslims.
A good Tuscl analogy would be if @GammaNu nominated @Skibum for most thoughtful posts on BLM.
discussion comment
4 years ago
![]()
IceyI put your ATF on a winning team
@Wavey wrote: "They faking numbers, trying to push out a vaccine so trump can get re-elected"
___________
There's at least some truth to that.
In the early stages of the pandemic, the models created by the epidemiologist were touted by the White House and the WSJ to show that the death rate would be no worse than our worst flu season of the last 10 years. Now that we've blown past that by a factor of three, there's right-wing tendency to claim that all models are bullshit and that the death rates are fake.
Examples from TUSCL:
(1) @Mark94's post regurgitated a QAnon conspiracy theory that only 6% of the reported deaths are due to Covid (upvoted by nearly everyone here).
(2) "My pastor's wife told me that MDs are under pressure to push fake death certificates"
(3) Because of Medicare, MDs have a financial incentive to fake death certs.
(4) I know someone in the healthcare so blah, blah, blah...
It's not just TUSCL; Republicans are far more likely than Dems to think the death rates are fabricated.
The polls and simulations are showing that Biden has about a 70% chance of winning. If so, things will get better. Even if Biden is losing it, he can bring people together, and hopefully, he'll surround himself with young, competent people.
discussion comment
4 years ago
Got it. You're the only one in this thread who doesn't understand the meaning of per capita.
New Zealand has done exceptionally well -- per capita deaths below ours by a factor of about 100x.
discussion comment
4 years ago
@BigMac - Explaining further, my graph comparing Denmark & Sweden is done per capita. @Nicki went out of his way to state in the title that the US has surpassed Sweden in per-capita deaths. So your post doesn't make any sense. Until recently, Sweden and the US had the 10th and 11th WORST per-capita death rates in the world.
The "effective-GDP" argument is new to me. Quick search shows that both Sweden and Denmark had Covid fiscal stimulus, but couldn't find any details about how large the effective-GDP correction is. I'm wondering if the effective-GDG argument is the result of a few cranks out there or the result of some think-tank. As I said above, post a link with a supporting calculation.
It's an academic argument since the states will do whatever they want regardless of what Atlas or Trump are recommending.
discussion comment
4 years ago
Genius *
discussion comment
4 years ago
Everything in this thread is per capita BigMac. Thanks genious
discussion comment
4 years ago
Yes after a thorough search I see where you cribbed the "effective GDP" argument in the far fringes of the interwebs. But couldn't find any details on exactly how it was calculated or the magnitude of the correction.
discussion comment
4 years ago
^^^Good post and I'll keep an open mind. I think of the two countries as neighbors and very similar.
discussion comment
4 years ago
@Nicki wrote: "Good example of how people cherry-pick their metrics.:
Here are the eurostat numbers showing that Denmark and Sweden had about the same GDP downturn (8%-ish) as of a few weeks ago. There's been no uptick in deaths so far in Denmark:
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/10545332/2-14082020-AP-EN.pdf/7f30c3cf-b2c9-98ad-3451-17fed0230b57
You post a lot obnoxious shit @Nicki; try to back it up with facts.
discussion comment
4 years ago
Here's the IHME model predictions:
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=total-deaths&tab=trend
discussion comment
4 years ago
538 is tracking the predictions of the leading 14 models here:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/covid-forecasts/?cid=rrpromo
(although the wife of @Orion's pastor isn't included).
One of the models (IHME) was the darling of the WSJ and the White House earlier this year because it predicted 61K deaths, in line with a bad flu year. Now the IHME is predicting 410K deaths by year end.