Anyone care about French elections?
Will the Euro break up or fall apart if Lepen wins?
Could cause stock market to drop 1000 Dow points. Possible great buying opportunity.
It might suck for Europe though.
Projections are for Lepen and another to be in a runoff election around May 2nd or so after this weekends vote.
I'm thinking Lepen don't win the whole thing. Now if Obama would throw his support for the other candidate, Lepen might win.
Could cause stock market to drop 1000 Dow points. Possible great buying opportunity.
It might suck for Europe though.
Projections are for Lepen and another to be in a runoff election around May 2nd or so after this weekends vote.
I'm thinking Lepen don't win the whole thing. Now if Obama would throw his support for the other candidate, Lepen might win.
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Individual French people have often been friends of America and Americans. From Lafayette to Frédéric Auguste Bartholdi and Gustave Eiffel (designer and builder of La Liberté éclairant le monde - the Statue of Liberty) several French individuals have contributed to US history and culture. But as a nation, and a people as a whole the French are not our friends.
One exception among modern French leaders may be Marine Le Pen, a "not liberal, not socialist" candidate in the current French elections for President. Liberals, progressives, and socialists - worldwide - are aghast at her popularity and even the possibility that she will be in the runoff elections has the French Socialist Party pulling out every dirty trick they ever knew to destroy her. One of the reasons they hate her is she publicly supports better relations with the US and has said she likes what Trump says (the two have never met).
Even though Le Pen campaigns on French exit from the EU, a "Frexit" is still unlikely - BUT her influence (if elected) might convince the EU to tighten borders and stop importing Muslim terror. "MIGHT" Even a good showing in the elections might make a little difference - but I doubt that the EU is recoverable. Western Europe is important to the USA, and to the stability of the world, but they seem to be attempting to commit suicide - led by the French. The UK, and maybe even Germany, could slow the decline but I don't know. Bottom line, I am morbidly curious, but I don't hold out hope for France..
I'm very concerned about the election. From the polls it looks like it could be any two of the four in the second round: so six different outcomes all about equally likely. "Officially" she only has a good chance in one of those: when she is up against a communist.
FrExit would pretty much seal the end of the EU which have big market ramifications over time. It would be another shot in the arm for populism. Might even end up in a 1848 type scenario. Social consequences are scary besides the economic ones.
Officially just a 1 in 6 chance right now, but I suspect she has a better 2nd round shot then the polls indicate. Especially if she scores much better than expected in the first. That will mean, that like with BrExit and Trump supporters, her supporters don't talk to pollsters or mislead them when they do.
No matter what the outcome I think the markets rip next week. To the upside or downside is the question though.
LePen was sailing in the polls until a debate a few weeks back when she denied France's role in sending Jews to Auschwitz. The new National Front is not supposed to say things like that.
They have a LePen win at 11:4. Macron is a little better than 50/50 at 8:11.
I also hope the French wake up and begin to demand the muslim scum that have infested their country either follow their laws or get the fuck out. We need to do the same. You come to our country to escape the butches and slaughter of your family in your former residence by your chosen religious leaders and you are so sick in the head you want to bring the slaughter and butchery to our country.
Muslims are no better than rabid dogs they bite the hands that try to help them. The majority of the refuges (70% single male) are lazy cowardly animals who are looking for an easy place to rape and pillage in the west. They want use to pay them welfare to reduce our countries to the 4th world level they claim to have fled. If they were not cowardly animals they would stand up like men and resist ISIS, the Mullahs and crazies in charge in their own countries and beg charity for someone to fight their battles for them.
I travel all over and interact with people from all over the world and virtually to a person the say muslim men do not work! They claim it is beneath their dignity to be a wage earner and when their are job available they send women to apply. Europe and north america need to ship all the trash the mideast has dumped in our yard back and tell them to live in their own country.
We need to become energy independent and tell that part of the world to fuck off and die.
So, no you did not confuse. Completely clear. Because of that, I think you owe TT and the board and apology for your wild accusations. I won't hold my breath on that, however, because I know you are a guy who will never admit he is wrong even when it is as clear as night and day that you were wrong.
Gonna apologize, Jestie?
TiredTraveler referred to Muslims as "scum", "lazy cowardly animals who are looking for an easy place to rape and pillage" and also compared them to "rabid dogs". Those are the rantings of an angry bigot. Try and desperately twist my words into something else, but as usual you don't have a leg to stand on.
You could substitute most ethnic groups and my point would have been the same. I picked Jewish because I was reminded of a scene from Imperium, which I recently watched.
Jestie's only three moves: 1) pounce on a typo (even when typo is the simpler explanation versus his elaborate alternatives) 2) treat an obviously joking statement as serious and 3) project his constant lying and hypocrisy onto others.
Really dipshit? It didn't work with vince, it's not going to work here. You've been trolling this site for near on a decade. Apologize for almost 10 years of your bullshit and then maybe someone will do something other than laugh or scroll on when you suggest it.
But it seems like Internet Touch Guys like you and vincemichaels are able to man up to their mistakes. Hardly surprising.
Ooops... Left out a word there. "not able to man" up. Better correct that so jestie's pea-brain does not get thrown for a loop! (And great example of his hypocrisy. He'll complain how I often omit words when in my writing, but then when accidental word omission is the most obvious explanation, but he wants to pin something else on, on no way I could have accidentally omitted a word!)
Keep trying it for a few more posts, make sure you get the last word, and then say you "slam dunked that faggot".
Not your best work Dugly.
Anyway I'm only interested in how the results affect things here.
It is noteworthy that she got this far, while the traditionally mainstream French parties are sidelined.
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Assume that was supposed to be "deficit" and not "deceit." Funny thing, the sentence makes perfect sense either way :)
Brexit and Trump were huge surprises, but apparently Macron has this one absolutely locked down, which is a good thing. Macron's leading in the polls by 25 points. Here's Nate Silver's tweet:
"Anyone who says "Le Pen can win because Trump!" is basically innumerate. Their situations are not at all comparable."
I would like to see Le Pen win if nothing more to see the liberal fallout, no doubt there would have to be created safe spaces the size of cities
https://newrepublic.com/article/142248/t…
As an aspiring rick I plan to organize all of the suit-wearing invertebrates into an army of death that will wipe the scourge of hairless apes from the face of the world.
Then the council of ricks will accept my membership.
Scuttle! Scuttle! Scuttle!