OT: Electric Vehicles – thoughts?
Papi_Chulo
Miami, FL (or the nearest big-booty club)
I’m not a tree-hugger but the “computer on wheels” aspect of an EV def appeals to me (not having to deal w/ all the parts of an ICE-car such as an engine; transmission; etc; plus I like quiet/smooth riding-cars).
I’d say the biggest obstacle for me personally is that I’m a renter thus would not be able to charge at home – watching Youtube vids; many people make the point that it would be pretty-disadvantageous if one did not have the ability to charge at home.
Anyone on here own/owned an EV? How is/was your experience? Or anyone thinking about getting one?
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I've thought about buying an EV but the technology and infrastructure aren't there yet. I own rather than rent but my parking arrangement isn't amenable to installing a charger. EV charging stations are still too few and far between. Charging still takes too long and EV range is suboptimal.
Once they fix that shit, I'll consider. I figure the "computer on wheels" genie is out of the bottle.
I don't know... they're fucking fiddling around with a silly computer instead of driving? Just a guess.
Now hybrids are another story. Very good gas mileage, make use of braking and hills to charge the battery, super quiet, etc. My wife drives a Prius, and it's a little too small for my comfort, but I bet there are some bigger options out there. But it's not the fully monty ev-wise.
Anytime you see these kinds of forced changes, not simple market changes, just follow the power/money trail. 99% of the time that will answer the real reason behind the change.
First, Tesla has a 5 year lead on every other non-Chinese EV manufacturer, in terms of technology, design, and manufacturing. Their charging stations are fast and convenient national wide. Their online purchase process is simple and vastly better than the typical dealer process. The only EV I would consider is a Tesla.
Teslas are quiet, fast, and fun to drive. Because they are software based, they have features not available in any other car. The only downside is their higher purchase price though, if you factor in how much you save in gas, they are competitively priced in terms of cost of ownership.
The real turning point will be in about a year when the Tesla Mexican plant opens and the $25,000 compact begins selling. That price point will be the end of GM and Ford. They will not be able to compete.
My prediction: Once they become more common it will take two generations for people to understand they are silent and to stop crossing the street in front of them and dying.
Everything skibum says about winter driving is correct. On the other hand, the Tesla heat pumps can be operated by phone, so you can warm your car before getting in. Or, in my case, cool your car in the summer. That’s a nice feature.
About 100,000 Tesla vehicles are testing FSD right now and they’ve made a lot of progress in the last year using artificial intelligence.
There are videos on YouTube if you want to see how close they are. Right now, they operate flawlessly on major highways, pretty well in suburban and rural settings, but struggle in some dense urban locations.
Elon says this will be ready for the public by the end of the year, which probably means 2 or 3 years.
1. You “need” to lease or buy a new vehicle. If you’re used vehicle still runs good, better financially to hold onto it.
2. Most of your driving is commuter, and not long distance. Charging at home is most beneficial, which leads to….
3. Access to affordable charging, such as living in an area with lower electrical rates (ie Arizona) and doing so at home.
I’m sure I left some thing out. I’m in 2 of the 3 scenarios, but the numbers add up for me to stick with my gas guzzling truck. No financing costs, low insurance, hauls anything for home projects/remodeling, and little to no registration fees. Price of owning anything new has many hidden costs to nickel and dime you to death, equal to the costs of maintaining an old vehicle for repairs. My thinking is by maintaining an old vehicle it is essentially lowering a persons carbon footprint than buying a new EV. However, if starting off brand new in need of a vehicle that you will own for 10-20 years, EV all the way if you have the above 3 criteria met.
For someone who drives 15,000 miles a year, that’s under $300. With gas prices at $5/gallon here, the annual cost of gas is closer to $3,000.
Now, it’s being developed by artificial intelligence, using millions of miles of data from Tesla cars on the road. The progress has been exponential.
They are getting close.
the self driving is going to be a while before it will be truly useable, but it will enable many to live a more active life.
My guess is it will become easier and more efficient and the adaptation will be quicker, and less stressful than you all think.
The Toyota Corolla and Honda Civic will also cost $25,000 but will cost $3,000 per year to fuel.
That’s why I am buying Tesla stock aggressively.
If you primarily drive locally and have the ability to charge at home an EV makes a lot of sense.
If you frequently travel long distances (more than a couple hundred miles) or don't have the ability to charge at home they don't make much sense unless you also have a 2nd vehicle. If you frequently have to use public charging like Tesla's supercharger it can be inconvenient and a lot more expensive than charging at home.
If you frequently tow anything I would hold off for a while on an electric truck because the range when towing is not there yet.
Personally what I would be looking for is something like the Chevy Volt was but updated with better battery tech. It had an electric driveline that gave you a limited range and then had a gas engine that would be used as a generator for longer trips. The battery gave you about 50 miles of range and then when the gas generator kicked in it got about 42 mpg. For me that would mean 80% of my driving would be electric only and the 4 days a month where I drive longer distances would be at a decent mpg. If they could upgrade to newer battery tech and get 150-200 miles of ev range and keep the gas generator it would mean that all of my normal driving would be electric only and I would only use gas about twice a year while on longer trips. I would really love to see an electric truck with a range extending fast or diesel generator for towing, electric motors make plenty of torque for towing but it eats the battery too quickly.
As it stands right now I am looking at buying an EV in a couple of years but keeping my truck for towing and for longer drives on vacation once or twice a year.
While I believe electric vehicles will soon dominate, workhorse vehicles like diesel trucks will still be around for decades. They do the job and won’t be easily replaced.
I don’t know its range or towing but it is rumored to do 0-60 in 2.9 seconds.
I know it doesn't seem like it right now because while EVs are becoming more popular and available, and TV commercials are devoted almost entirely to them, there is still no shortage of traditional ICE cars or gas stations. But you can see the writing on the wall... Newsom in CA imposing mandates for EV use over the next few years, and this fucking asshole Murphy here in NJ talking the same bullshit, like he's Newsom's pet parrot.
FUCK those douchebags, FUCK electric vehicles, and FUCK the lying environmentalists who claim these cars are better for the FAKE climate change threat. FUCK 'em all.
I would sooner walk around wearing a dress and drinking Bud Light before I'd ever buy an EV.
😂😂😂
What should have happened is let EVs prove themselves superior in the market. That would have taken 10 years and allowed the auto industry to transition.
But, here we are. Even if EV tax credits are killed ( and they should be ), we now know EVs are superior to ICE vehicles when produced at scale. And, the center of the automotive industry is Austin, not Detroit.
EQS: 329 horsepower
Model X Plaid: 1,000 horsepower
I like the way my Benz drives, I test drove a Tesla about a year ago and I wasn’t impressed too much yaw and the ride was a bit pitchy.
Is the issue that climate isn't actually changing or that the reasons for it are being misrepresented? You know like there isn't sex in the champagne room or that sugar babies who fuck for money aren't prostitutes.
Solar activity, volcanic emissions, forest fires all affect climatic cycles
To a lesser extent, human economic activity affects climate
Not all climate change is bad. When the ice age warmed, that was a good thing
If climate warms, or cools, that hurts some regions/species and benefits others
If we change our economic activity to affect climate, we must first have an accurate model of whether the resulting climate change justifies the cost of modifying/reducing our economic activity. No such model exists.
For example, banning coal would destroy the economy of developing and poor countries, putting millions of lives at risk. Does the benefit justify that loss of life ? Until we know the answer, we shouldn’t take a sledgehammer to the world economy.
If you reject that, I suggest that climate change is just a rationale for getting power and political control.
In 50 years, no one will be concerned about man made climate change.
https://www.britannica.com/story/what-wa…
EVs can make sense if you're upper income and don't have long commutes or have other cars.
EVs will never.get cheaper than ICEs because that big box of minerals called the battery is made of semiprecious commodities. There is only so much that is cheap and easily available. The more popular EVs get the more demand for the minerals which will push prices higher.
Batteries have entered their incremental phase of technology advancement. It isn't likely that a major breakthrough is going to make them substantially cheaper. Too much time and money has been put into battery tech for there to be a major revolution still possible. They will hype something every couple of years, but it's never market viable.
You also get relatively less for your money in terma of amenities in an EV. Compare the interior of a $50k ICE to a $50k EV. The ICE is a big step up. Batteries are expensive. Fuel tanks are cheap.
EVs have a use case that's substantial but they aren't for everyone. Not even close. It's just that people would like ro make a lot of money on them, including the legislators forcing them.
I believe it's the case that satisfied electric car owners typically live in multi-vehicle household that also own a gas-powered vehicle. If a company wants me to buy their electric car, they should have a side business of inexpensive, low-friction rental of gas-powered cars.
Also, batteries and magnets can be made with varying elements and quantities of metals. In general, the more rare earth minerals, the more effective they are.
Tesla is addressing this through a new process for refining lithium plus a use of less expensive, less efficient, chemistries for lower cost vehicles. I believe Tesla has claimed their $25,000 Model 2 will use little rare elements. In particular, I believe the magnets used in the motors will have to be larger and heavier because they won’t include rare earth minerals.
The fact that lithium prices have dropped significantly, while battery production skyrockets, suggests there are alternatives.
In China, BYD has sold hundreds of thousands of EVs for under $15,000. Tesla plans on selling 4 Million Model 2 EVs per year, beginning in 2024, for $25,000. They say they will make a profit at this price.
It depends on what your are looking for. The Tesla Model Y has a minimalist interior. It looks nothing like a traditional luxury car. But, it has lots of room, a massive glass roof, and 450 horsepower.
Unlike every other car, it is software based with a single computer coordinating all elements of the car. Functionally, the Model Y can do things that other cars can’t. For example, you can control the heat and AC from your phone, allowing you to make the car comfortable before you use it. And, self driving is one hell of an amenity. But, no, it doesn’t have mahogany and leather on its dash.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/man-took-tesl…
Assuming there was electrical service at the campsite, it’s possible to plug in and get some charge. Even a 110 home outlet will give you 4 miles per hour of charge. Far from ideal but it’s an option.
I love my S. It destroys every other car in regards to merging, getting onto the highway etc and anything that needs speed. Having Tesla's HQ just miles away means chargers are everywhere I need and I don't really drive anything farther than ~200 miles away (with tons of super chargers along the way).
If your needs match then it can be great. Normal cars are total fucking garbage after driving this - but I don't give a fuck about negative degree weather, roadtrips or any of the things mentioned. The charging IS something that becomes a factor - again, you need to assess your needs before getting one if interested.
2. Batteries don't die the day after the warranty runs out. But for EVs no oil change, timing belt, cat converter, alternator, fuel pump, muffler, spark plugs, air filter etc. to deal with. And very little use of brakes. Just new tires, windshield wipers and soon a coolant flush for the water-cooled batteries and power electronics
3. My hybrid (Volt) doesn't literally have 2 drivetrains. The engine is a generator and is rarely connected to the wheels. 5yrs so far but only 35K mi and not one problem.
4. EVs aren't really more computers on wheels than ICE cars, except for the battery monitoring module. And the 360VDC-12VDC and converter and inverter for the motors aren't computers.
5. Self-driving isn't unique to EVs.
The typical ICE car has over 100 microchips, each controlling a separate function. Teslas have a central computer that controls these functions, allowing for greater control, flexibility, and coordination. That’s how Teslas are years ahead of other cars, both ICE and EV.
It doesn’t. It does however reduce emissions relative to fossil fuel power plants. And, it allows more rapid expansion of electrical capacity than solar or wind. As EVs grow in popularity, we need to add electrical capacity to the grid. That, in turn, reduces emissions from ICE cars and trucks.
It's not right for me right now, but it's pretty obvious (at least to me) that the option to own a gas-only car will disappear eventually. Regarding the technology, most modern gas cars are very computerized and can be hacked if someone is clever enough.
I forget the name, but there's a guy out there working on adapting classic/vintage trucks to run on hybrid or all-electric systems. While it sounds like blasphemy, his goal is to keep working trucks on the road as long as possible. Interesting stuff.
To each their own, and offering choice for the consumer to fit their own personal needs is nice. One (EV) for commuter needs locally, and the other (ICE) for everything else.
Seems the cheaper Tesla-models are now coming-equipped w/ the newer LFP-batteries which behave slightly different than the conventional lithium-batteries:
+ conventional lithium batteries are recommended to be charged to 80% while LFP batteries seems recommended to be charged to 100%
+ seems it’s recommended LFP batteries should be plugged-in everday, which would be problematic if one does not have home-charging
I’m not an expert in the EV-space thus not sure how accurate m comments are but kinda what I’ve hard mentioned.
I would also be in the camp that if I switched to an EV, that would be the only-car available to me which is kinda a further obstacle for me personally.
“... In 1965, Gordon Moore, one of Intel's co-founders, observed that the number of transistors on a microchip was increasing rapidly, exponentially increasing the computing power while decreasing the cost of the chip ...”
i.e. similar to Moore’s Law – as EV design and manufacturing becomes more advanced; it may have the “Moore's Law effect” of making them cheaper as it has for a lot of electronics over time?
Also seems the Chinese may currently be at or near the top of the food-chain w.r.t. battery design/manufacturing/research – seems the Chinese gov is heavily investing/subsidizing EV/battery development – I think I also heard the Chinese gov will outlaw ICE-cars sooner than later which would likely more-accelerate the EV/battery space:
https://electrek.co/2023/04/01/ice-car-v…
1) Shell has developed a technology which allows streetlamp-posts to be modified into EV-chargers for those that utilize street-parking – apparently it has already been deployed in parts of Europe although IDK much about-it but if it works seems like it would be helpful for those that don’t have access to at-home-charging:
https://archive.autofutures.tv/2021/10/1…
2) KInda hard to believe – but I had been hearing that the Tesla Model-Y had become the best-selling car in Europe so far in 2023 – not the best selling EV; best selling car EV or ICE – and that in the U.S. the Model-Y was the 4th-best-selling car (EV or ICE) and predicted to also become #1 (ICE or EV) by end of 2023:
https://www.carscoops.com/2023/04/tesla-…
https://www.caranddriver.com/news/g43553…
"you can't stop the revolution"
The good news is Tesla, and half a dozen others, are building large battery plants in North America. This is, in part, because of government incentives.
I suspect North America will eventually supply their own market while China will dominate Asia and Europe.
If you compare it to a $40,000-$50,000 Toyota Highlander, it’s more than competitive. If you consider the $10,000 fuel savings and compare it to a base model Toyota RAV4 at $30,000, the model Y is a slam dunk.
Since Tesla doesn’t advertise, the model Y is selling by word of mouth. And, the word is spreading.
The Tesla Model Y continues to assert its dominance in Norway's electric vehicle market, with sales data from the first four months of 2023 revealing the electric SUV outsold its five closest competitors combined.
Norway leads the world in electric vehicle adoption with approximately 83% of the market share belonging to pure electric vehicles.
I enjoy my car because it is a different experience and pleasant. I also find it hilarious how much I can shit all over basically any car on the road while also driving one of the absolute safest cars if something unfortunate was to happen.
Oh - and mr oj - tanks already have dogshit range to begin with and their fuel tanks are massive. I can't speak to how good or bad a massive, heavy ass battery (on a vehicle that's already 100k lbs) would be as a liability - but who knows how things play out over the next 10 years there.
Tesla is quickly transitioning to a large scale manufacturer of affordable, quality vehicles with features and mileage that Ford, GM, and Dodge can’t compete with.
The Cybertruck will undercut the three OEMs major profit center, pick up trucks. It will force them to lower prices. It will take Tesla 2 or 3 years to get production fully up to scale.
The 2024 $25,000 Model 2 will cut other manufacturers off at the knees by selling a vehicle that dominates the under-$30,000 vehicle market. Between the $7,500 tax credit, and nearly free fuel cost, no one will be able to compete with Tesla in this segment. Even the Japanese will be crushed.
Ford has already decided to stop selling vehicles everywhere but North America and to reduce the types of vehicles it sells. They are going to try and use their profits from pick ups to fund a rapid expansion of their EV offerings. They will attempt to steal Tesla’s playbook and close the 5 year lead it has.
I've stopped caring about climate change. For the last 60 years, we've been 10 years from the apocalypse unless we adopt the full leftist agenda.
But if an EV fills my requirements better than an ICE car, I'll switch.
But, even if the $7,500 tax credit for EVs goes away, it’s clear that EVs are now better value than ICE vehicles. We’ve turned a corner and there’s no going back.
Unfortunately, the "features" being introduced to even ICE cars these days are horrendous. An auto manufacturer who can commandeer your vehicle and return it to the factory anytime they want is...less than desirable.
At a utility level, it allows them to store energy when there is excess capacity ( overnight ) and use it during peak periods. That reduces the need to build new power plants.
At an individual level, it offers homeowners the possibility of storing energy at low overnight rates and use it during peak rates. Here in Arizona, that means you could buy electricity at $.03 per KWH and use it a few hours later when it would have cost $.30 per KWH.
This is a new business but the potential is in the Trillions.
You also can start to find some potential reality in what SpaceX is positioned to do. Their latest rocket launch that did in fact explode, which was basically expected, is massively significant. They have 100M TONS of cargo capacity for this rocket that will cost $2M. The current does like 15M tons and costs ~$20M (these numbers are not totally accurate). This makes it insanely cheaper, relatively, to transport lots of cargo. If they actually can take rockets to places where we can mine resources and bring them back....the world of energy storage innovations could be expedited. The next ~10 years will be fascinating.
I say this and I don't give a fuck about space. But it's important to be aware of significant shifts in our world as they allow for so much opportunity.
Tesla has at least 2 businesses with AI involvement.
Its full self driving is being developed by loading sensor data from millions of miles of driving into a super computer and letting AI learn how to drive. The progress over the last year has been astounding. Tesla claims we are months away from having self driving be much safer than human driving, on average. From videos I’ve seen, I tend to believe it.
They also have robots, built roughly in human form, that are part of the car assembly process. They can be taught to perform a lot of the work previously done by humans. Tesla plans to makes the sale of these robots for manufacturing another business. Imagine a manufacturing floor with hundreds of these robots performing complex tasks and being somehow controlled through AI. This could be reality soon, not in some distant science fiction future.
In 2030, when Tesla is making 20 million cars a year, eventually having 200 million cars on the road, FSD subscriptions could be half a trillion dollars of pure profit every year.
https://youtu.be/PYGdm845lc8
Between Artificial Intelligence, Robots, Satellite Communication, Energy, Transportation, and Media, there are an infinite number of ways he could change the world.
Automated factories ? Robots in space ? Cheap, sustainable energy ?
As Elon said yesterday, he has no lack of ideas. It’s all in the execution.
For over a year, he slept under his desk on the plant floor so the hourly workers would see his feet sticking out and know he wasn’t “ drinking Mai Tais on the beach”.
Also in the interview Elon talks about how he and Larry Page, Co-Founder of Google, would stay up late into the night at Page's home talking tech but they are no longer on speaking terms (which makes one wonder about Elon' s motivation to take-on-and compete with everything Google does?).
Tesla has an AI that models human action then trains a machine how to do it. He also has robots.
I have ( literally ) put my money down on which I think will be more valuable in 5 or 10 years.
These jobs pay $50,000+ with benefits. What would someone pay for a robot who could do this job for 10 years ?
Elon was talking about the importance of employees being in the office vs only/mostly working-from-home – Elon made the point that these workers that only/mostly just wanna work from home, they still expect other people/workers to not work from home – i.e. these stay-at-home workers still expect Uber service; food delivery; restaurant workers; handymen; etc; to be available and all these people don’t have the option ”to work from home” yet the stay-at-home-workers feel they should be treated differently.
Elon felt these “I only wanna work from home” people had a sense of entitlement and coined them “The Laptop Class” – LOL.
The internet gives everyone a resume Gatling gun. Nothing impressive about a company getting many applicants per available job. If Musk manages to hire lots of people away from FANG, that I would be impressed by.
My company allowed anyone who maintained high productivity during COVID to continue to work from home if we wanted to. Can't say as I care if Musk sees anything wrong with that. I'd probably have to work more hours for less money if I went to work at Tesla or Space X anyway. Jobs at companies like that are generally best for inexperienced people, as a stepping stone to something better.
I’m curious to see the price. The new Model 3 has been designed for manufacturing efficiencies.
The least expensive Model 3 currently is $36,250 ( $40,000 minus a $3,750 tax credit ). I would not be surprised if the new net cost was under $35,000. If the battery is made in US, qualifying for the full tax credit, it should be closer to $30,000. That would be a hell of a bargain.
https://youtu.be/qC6xZDSSrIg
https://youtu.be/T0-Wf5CV8fo
Interesting vid about new batteries for Model-Y:
https://youtu.be/kGUsfhtQq4s