Looks like the best bet is to develop a vaccine, but that appears to not be going so well. On a brighter note (sorry Warrior), this year belongs to the Lions!!
We're relying on Americans to remember who we are and to move ahead; suffer the losses; and get on with life. How do we do that? We just bought season ski passes wednesday for next year. Ain't no social distancing in the Tram.
Then we are really in deep shit in more ways than one. Considering this came from China shall we consider it an act of war from them. Put a us AF / missle base in Taiwan and dare PRC go to war over it. Of course USN assets nearby to respond.
But the immune systems still are able to fight future virus. It's just like influenza. There's a cost to carry antibodies, some viruses the body doesn't just keep for a life time. Like Influenza, it may reoccur several times over a lifespan. And again like influenza, reoccur without serious consequence until other health factors kick in, like age, heart disease, and obesity/diabeties.
Agreed medical science still has much to learn about this virus. So predictions are subject to change. But like influenza, I’m thinking a COVID-19 vaccine might become an annual event administered in the autumn to help mitigate the impact during the peak winter season. I highly doubt any vaccine will be ready for autumn 2020, but autumn 2021 may be possible.
I don’t think this changes anything, even if it’s true, which no one knows if it is. I think people are either in the camp of waiting for vaccine and treatment, or they don’t give a fuck. Both groups are going to stick to their guns regardless of this.
I just pulled up the article on this "study". One, the study is in China. Why would we trust anything coming out of there. And two, the study involved testing 74 people. not exactly an extensive study.
The vaccine developed by Moderna was successful in creating the antibodies. That vaccine has been injected into a few hundred participants. After over two months, those participants still have the antibodies and those antibodies were actually stronger and more plentiful after the two months than right after the injections.
Earlier in the month, a study was conducted on 382 of the Covid19 infected sailors on the USS Roosevelt (CVN-71) . Just 60% of them tested positive for antibodies. About 1/5 of group were asymptomatic. I would like to know if either group were more likely to develop antibodies. I think the learning curve on this pandemic will be steep for a while.
"... I think the learning curve on this pandemic will be steep for a while ..."
Looks that way - at one point it was hoped that the high summer temps may possibly eliminate the virus similar to the flu, but this virus does not seem to follow expected behaviors
Antibodies failing to prevent reinfections was reported several weeks ago. This study just seems to add more evidence to that claim.
There was another headline on TV that Florida ICUs are nearing capacity, which is what the first stay-at-home was meant to avoid.
The first shutdown also taught us that we can not afford to shut down, so we could be looking at triaging in the streets and more convalescing at home.
This is all China's fault. The are indebted to the whole world for this mess. If the world had more leaders like Trump, they would excoriated, ostracized, and made into the rogue pariah state that they truly are. The fucking UN cowards won't do it, though. The US should build another coalition of the willing.
As a person who reads medical literature for a living I will tell you that one small unreplicated study is interesting but not compelling. It might be true. But the reopening of Wuhan and the gross number data in Western Europe don't really fit with the findings of that study.
The truth is it takes 3 years to properly breakdown the contagiousness and leathality of the typical flu season. A well understood and it has a vaccine and a simple lab test.
Novel covid 19 I'm guessing the real data on transmission and resistance is about 5 years away.
No reason to hit the panic button yet.
20 comments
Latest
The vaccine developed by Moderna was successful in creating the antibodies. That vaccine has been injected into a few hundred participants. After over two months, those participants still have the antibodies and those antibodies were actually stronger and more plentiful after the two months than right after the injections.
I say BS on this study.
Looks that way - at one point it was hoped that the high summer temps may possibly eliminate the virus similar to the flu, but this virus does not seem to follow expected behaviors
There was another headline on TV that Florida ICUs are nearing capacity, which is what the first stay-at-home was meant to avoid.
The first shutdown also taught us that we can not afford to shut down, so we could be looking at triaging in the streets and more convalescing at home.
This is all China's fault. The are indebted to the whole world for this mess. If the world had more leaders like Trump, they would excoriated, ostracized, and made into the rogue pariah state that they truly are. The fucking UN cowards won't do it, though. The US should build another coalition of the willing.
Don't get science from CNBC. Get it from scientific journals.
The truth is it takes 3 years to properly breakdown the contagiousness and leathality of the typical flu season. A well understood and it has a vaccine and a simple lab test.
Novel covid 19 I'm guessing the real data on transmission and resistance is about 5 years away.
No reason to hit the panic button yet.