Future Predictions
shailynn
They never tell you what you need to know.
1. When do you think restaurants/bars will have in-house seating with no restrictions on the number of patrons?
2. When do you think malls will open back up?
3. Does the NBA somehow manage to finish this season?
4. Does the MLB ever start this season?
5. Does the NFL have a season without spectators?
6. Do universities/colleges physically have students in the fall?
7. Do children (elementary, middle school, high school) physically go back to class In the fall?
8. When do you think Vegas will reopen?
9. What percentage of business that are allowed to open, will remain closed in Georgia when the 1st round of restrictions are lifted?
10. Do you think Americans will received more stimulus check(s)?
11. Do you think Juice has blown all his stimulus money yet?
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2. Late May
3. Yes
4. Yes
5. No, they will have spectators
6. Yes
7. Yes
8. Middle of may
9. Fuck if I know
10. I see 1 more check
11. 50/50 Zaxby's/Dominoes
2) May/June in a limited capacity. But retail was struggling and many stores will never re open.
3) No
4) probably not. By August it's pointless
5) yes with no preseason. Playoffs may have fans?
6) It's going to vary wildly but I'll say yes as there are lab classes that you just can't do well remote. But many lecture classes will still be remote.
7) Yes, possibly with some delays in some areas
8) soon in a limited capacity slowly ramping up. Demand will be slow for a time.
9) the majority will reopen although some will choose to limit capacity
10) probably not. For better or worse I expect future stimulus money to be targeted at corporations and the poor. The 1200 was meant to be an imperfect but speedy solution and compromise and future bills will be more targeted.
11) he's saving it for when clubs reopen
2. fall 2020
3. No
4. Yes
5. No
6. Yes
7. Yes
8. Too soon with their moron mayor
9. About 50%, but we'll never really know this
10. No
11. Hope not
Points, but I don’t have time to do a homework project. Glad to see others chiming in. It gives some
Perspective on the topic.
Sometimes I just see the yelling and the logic behind the yells gets lost.
Plus, some states/governors will handle it well. Others will screw up and need to lock down again in the fall.
We may see a mass exodus from poorly managed urban areas to better managed parts of the country. That’s a shift that was on a decade long timetable that will become a 6-12 month timetable.
2. december 2020
3. no
4. yes
5. yes
6. yes
7. yes
8. doesn't matter. vegas as we know it is done. replaced by online casinos/sportsbooks
9. better question is of those that do open, how many will survive sans sales/customers
10. yes
11. no
2- July
3- Not in front of fans.
4- Not in front of fans until maybe August
5- NFL will have fans.
6- Yes
7- Yes
8- June
9- 50% /. 100% two weeks later
10- No
11- Yep
Mark - Thanks for mentioning skiing moguls. Trees around here get bumped up very quickly and my wife shot a video of me skiing bumps in the trees at killington through 15" new. Watching it on a loop.
2. June 2020
3. Yes
4. Yes
5. Yes
6. Yes
7. No
8. June 15, 2020
9. 20-25%
10. No
11. Yep
1. There have always had restrictions, Fire Marshal etc., but pre-covid 19 norms will be after 2nd wave, possibly vaccine.
2. No different really than Target or Walmart that never closed in the first place.
3,4,5. No league is going to risk having to refund TV rights money.
9. Some businesses will never come back because they don't have the cash on hand for a restart. The PPP loans won't offset zero cash flow for two months.
10. Some of the paper stim checks aren't even being sent until September.
Agree. And there's the big wildcard of treatment. While everyone is for some reason focused on a vaccine, which is over a year away at best, there are dozens of other treatments being tested, and any one of them can be shown to have merit any week now. As a rough guess, figure 3-5 months to scale up availability, and we could see everyone but the elderly and those with multiple comorbidities out and about by the fall.
“Mark - Thanks for mentioning skiing moguls. Trees around here get bumped up very quickly and my wife shot a video of me skiing bumps in the trees at killington through 15" new. Watching it on a loop.“
The first time I skied out West, I did some off trail tree skiing. Totally unprepared. I hit a sapling and snapped it off. I was incredibly lucky it was a sapling.
2. June 2020 in California
3. Yes
4. Yes
5. Yes
6. Yes
7. Yes
8. Memorial Day Weekend
9. 10%
10. Yes
11. No
2) 10/1/2020
3) No
4) Yes
5) Yes
6) Some
7) Some
8) 6/30/2020
9) Georgia???
10) Yes
2nd wave possibly will hit in the late Fall and might be worse. Immunity might not exist and folks will get it multiple times. It will be bedlam and hate crimes will rise with attempts to eradicate certain "carriers". Vaccine is not realistic this year plus we will have to deal with the anti-vaxers.