Comments by RonJax2 (page 10)

> Yeah that's 3 states but only 3, and Trump is in the lead in all of them. Yeah but Kamala has only been wielding the Roe cannon for a day. We'll see if those leads hold. She was in NC today and abortion was definitely a topic, check out this bit from 5:00-5:30ish: https://youtu.be/Y3O75ZfcBOg?si=qXXrrO8zMjnhSD5z I think we'll see some movement in the polls. > Trump hasn't put the likes of Herschel Walker, Mehmet Oz, and Kari Lake on ballots. I don't believe shes been nominated yet, but Kari Lake will be on the ballot. She'll be running against Ruben Gallego for AZ Senate.

> Trump can remind black men that she put them in jail to advance her career I would encourage him to try but I think this will back fire on him. It's been 25+ years since she was a DA "taking on young black men on weed charges. And importantly she has evolved considerably on marijuana since those 25 years (as many reasonable adults have.) She's pro-legalization. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2024/07/22/kamala-harris-marijuana-stance-policy/74495543007/ I think weed is actually a winning wedge issue electorally and I think Kamala's actions as VP and in the Senate, where she introduced legislation to decriminalize marijuana, cast her squarely on the bigger side of this wedge than Trump's vague but mostly opposed position to legalization.

Sorry I meant that prior comment for @rick. @puddy: > If you have a link as to why she's more compelling than Biden on abortion, I'm interested to see that. https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2024/07/23/harris-abortion-rights-2024-election-biden/ > I agree that abortion is the single best issue for the Democrats. I think it's what single-handedly drove their 2022 outperformance. Yep. For the record, there's 11 states in the country where abortion will literally be on the ballot in 2024: https://www.kff.org/womens-health-policy/dashboard/ballot-tracker-status-of-abortion-related-state-constitutional-amendment-measures/ Importantly, that list includes swing states of NV, AZ, and PA. And there's also Florida. If Florida goes blue because abortion is on the ballot, Trump is toast in the EC. And expect still for the issue to motivate voters in swing states without abortion ballot initiatives. Dems will be running on this issue in all 50 states. > Trump is shrewdly distancing himself from having nominated 3 pro life justices. I think he needs to do this but I doubt it will be effective, especially for any pro-choice voters. Roe would be intact but for his appointments. > But with a lot of crazy candidates on state ballots, many outright promising 6 week abortion bans, it won't be a much of a hit. We'll see. I haven't been following a lot of state and local races, there's so many going on this election. But from what I've seen there's definitely some crazies running.

^ I totally agree it's possible. But why would it be so in this case? What would the motivation be? AFAICT he endorsed Kamala, touted his record, thanked people for supporting him, and talked foreign policy. This is the tape: https://www.msnbc.com/deadline-white-house/watch/hear-president-biden-speak-for-the-first-time-since-dropping-out-of-2024-presidential-election-215422533604 Pretty much the same thing Joe Biden has been saying since before he dropped out. What part of that would someone want to fake? This is all going to be moot in about an hour or two, when Biden is scheduled to speak from the White House.

@puddy are you suggesting she's tough on crime?

^ That surprises me, CJ that you'd take the FKK! I guess I need to see it for myself.

@TheeOSU > This time after watching 8 years of unfounded persecution against him by the left It's odd to me that you see it this way, even as you've acknowledged some of his flaws. His documents case has been thrown out (as has Biden's). He was found guilty in the hush money case, but he was on tape admitting to it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g8zrXaokka8. If you followed that case, the evidence was pretty overwhelming. What part of that felt like persecution to you? And his case in Georgia remains to be litigated, largely do the the delay tactics his team has employed. But to me, that's the most important of all the cases he faces: in that case the prosecution will attempt to prove he tried to steal the last presidential election by pressuring officials and attempting to install fake electors. And in that case, he's also on tape: https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/03/politics/trump-brad-raffensperger-phone-call-transcript/index.html. What specific parts of that case feel like persecution? That leaves the Election Subversion case in federal court. IMHO, the second most important case. In that case prosecutors weighed but avoided charging Trump with public insurrection, even though on that day he told his audience to "fight like hell" and that "we're never going to take back our country with weakness, you have to show strength", precipitating the Jan 6th riot. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d5Qe4h7KQ7c. It feels to me like prosecutorial negligence not to have indicted Trump on public insurrection. But with that said, I think the paperwork coup: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/12/trumps-coup-before-january-6/620998/ is just as serious as a crime, and deserves to be prosecuted. What part of that case is politically motivated in your opinion? I think there's a few other cases I haven't mentioned, the full list is here: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/07/donald-trump-legal-cases-charges/675531/. What I'm fundamentally asking I guess is, which specific cases amount to "leftist persecution"? It's easy to paint with a broad brush, but each of these cases has tons of evidence, often Trump's own words as evidence. From my chair, I'm angered that the wheels of justice turn so slowly. I think voters deserved verdicts in all these cases before making a decision in November, or even before Republicans held their primaries. And I think the courts, including SCOTUS (whose July 1st ruling delays several of these cases until 2025) have failed the American people by letting these wheels grind so slowly.

@skibum > Example: student loan forgiveness is nothing more than a blatant misuse of taxpayer money to buy votes. I look at it as a crime. I agree with the first statement. I don't think it's crime, I think this shit happens all the time. Farm subsidies buy votes. Cutting corporate taxes buys votes (and donors). Infrastructure projects buy votes. > As far as Donald Trump? I have hated the motherfucker since 1989. Why does it feel like you are always riding to his defense then?

@Puddy > Look at where Trump was vs the last election cycle and he's way ahead. Harris gives democrats another chance but if it were held today I think Trump decisively wins. FWIW, I mostly agree with these statements here. Trump is in the pole position. Harris shakes things up, but she's probably an underdog *at this exact moment* . We've had some recent polls in, and they're all over the place, showing everything from an 8-point Trump lead to a 4-point Harris edge, but on average Trump is still leading. I'd be curious as to how you define a "decisive" Trump victory. That, depending on how you define it, I don't see in the cards. I think his most likely path to victory is an EC win without even winning the popular vote as in 2016. IMHO, with his ceiling as low as it is, him winning the popular vote would be "decisive." Anyway, Nate Silver says he won't turn his model back on until next week week. We'll know more then. > If she wants to win she'll go center, I think you're right about this too. Except on Roe. I've read some fascinating analysis recently about how she talks to abortion versus how Biden speaks to it. Biden was always limited because he had to caveat things with his Catholic beliefs. Kamala speaks directly to it in a different way. If I were a democratic strategist, I'd have Kamala focus on two things, exhaustively: 1. Trump's record (criminal and presidential) and fitness for office 2. Abortion rights On other issues, I'd expect her to track more moderately. I'd expect her to tout her record as tough on crime, even though it's serious liability for her with the far left of the party. I'd be shocked if she ever once mentions reparations or outlawing private insurance.

> My first thought is you can't see a joke I guess I couldn't. It was hard to tell you were joking because the Trump world is full of ridiculous conspiracies. Something like 20% of the country literally believes he was anointed by God to take on the Democratic party which they believe is a cabal of pedophiles who drink the blood of children. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/QAnon Your comment on reanimated Joe seems pretty benign when compared to the shit that some Trumpsters actually believe. Note that congresswoman Lauren Boebert has demanded repeatedly on Twitter that Biden show "proof of life". https://x.com/laurenboebert/status/1815474214008475918 > i recall you leftists don't understand humor I'm not a leftist. But OK. > your talking points are based off of the MSM I read a handful of reputable newspapers daily, including one conservative leaning publication. I avoid cable news except during breaking news, and I generally eschew social media with TUSCL being the obvious exception. If you consider newspapers to be part of the "mainstream media" I guess I'm guilty as charged. I'm curious, where do you get your own information from?

She's going to absolutely demolish Trump in a debate. But my guess is Trump knows this and will chicken out.

> I can define socialism, but the fact you cannot and need others to explain it to you makes your opinion useless. I mean, I just defined it in my previous comment? And I asked you to offer your definition which you continually refuse to do? I suspect that for you socialism is anything disagrees with dear leader's policies. But prove me wrong by offering your own cogent definition. Go on. > Life in America was better under Trump Man, I vividly remember life under Trump. The pandemic, the race riots, the bitter discord everywhere in the country. Parents separate from children. Muslims banned from entering the country. Kowtowing to foreign autocrats. He's the most divisive president we've ever had. Maybe you enjoyed the pandemic and the race riots, but not for all the tea in china would I want to relive those years. And yeah, I guess I'm not reading the same right-wing propaganda as you. The best I can come up with from a google search is that CHOP is a mixture of weed and tobacco smoked through a bong. So maybe you can enlighten those of us that don't speak QAnon as to what CHOP is.

So, you can't define socialism then? Why am I unsurprising by this? And I have no idea what CHOP is. And further more I'm glad that most democrats condemned the violence surrounding the George Floyd protests. And personally, I'm terrified of the race riots we might have under another Trump presidency. From Unite the Right in Charlottesville to the Floyd riots, Trump was at the center of all of this. Remember when Trump tear gassed a bunch of peaceful protestors so he could hold up a fucking bible in Lafeyette Square? https://www.npr.org/2020/06/01/867532070/trumps-unannounced-church-visit-angers-church-officials I think it's unlikely that a majority of Americans will want to go back to those days.

@Dolfan, thank you for posting some real world examples. Me personally, as a spinner fan, I love the girls on your "too skinny" list. I also really like the girls on your list of what you like. Definitely do not like the girls in the "too fat" or "thicker" categories. To @bookguy's original question, I agree with @captainfun that this is just part of the nationwide trend towards obesity. People are fatter, strippers are gonna be fatter too.

@skibum do you even know what socialism is? Can you define it? As an ardent capitalist I am virulently opposed to socialism, which I would define as government ownership of the means of production. I fail to see how impeaching Trump for trying to trade favors for Ukrainian aid, or impeaching him for sending a mob to storm the capital and trying through other means to overturn the election, have anything to do with the government owning the means of production. I mean, even setting aside the treacherous mob of Jan 6th, this phone call between Trump and GA Sec'y of State Brad Raffensburger alone was both impeachable and disqualifying: https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/03/politics/trump-brad-raffensperger-phone-call-transcript/index.html

> Take the polls. Note how Trump has outperformed in his two prior elections. No question: Trump over-performed and republican voters were grossly undersampled in the 2016 election. In fact, at the time that was a world wide trend. The right-wing showing in the Brexit election that preceded Trump's election by a few months was also a huge surprise to pollsters and prognosticators (and to Tory David Cameron, who lost his job over it.) But Trump did NOT over-perform in 2020. The polls were actually pretty accurate then - within a single normal polling error accurate. And in the congressional elections of 2022, the polls grossly over-sampled republican support. Prognosticators were expecting that election to be a red tsunami and instead Republicans failed to take the Senate and were left with an unmanageable narrow majority in the house. Another data point to throw in the mix - some recent international elections have shown that pollsters continue to underestimate leftist voters as they did in the US in 2022. I'll point to the unexpected 2-to-1 blowout for MORENA / Sheinbuam in Mexico in June and the sudden unexpected surge from the far left in France as recent examples. The French prognosticators all thought Marine Le Pen would be the next prime minister, but thanks to far left voters, Macron will hang on for another term. In both elections, pollsters completely under sampled left leaning voters, and in particular, energy from the far left. I'll be the first to admit that one should be careful of extrapolating international trends to US elections. But what I do feel strongly about is that you can't count on the idea that polls will under represent republicans... the opposite could certainly be true, and in fact that looks like it could be the case from the very few tea leaves we have. I would highly recommend subscribing to Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin if you are genuinely interested in seeing some cogent and non-partisan prognostication. He's written a lot recently about this very topic of over/under sampling.

OP, sorry I completely missed that you were a dancer. I'll second the recommendation that you check out Penthouse! @TCabot... it's sketchy. Like I feel less safe walking around the block than I do in Tijuana. (And I definitely don't feel safe in Tijuana either.) But I still think the scene is worth checking out if you're in the DMV... the area is such a wasteland for clubs. Last time I did a room at Indulge, they had security cameras in the private room that watched the door and entrance, and the dancer told me we should keep an eye on the cameras in case they get raided. That was like a total buzz kill.

Nice review PT! > because there is a lot of personal experience in this review For the record, I relish in reading personal experiences on TUSCL reviews. So much of the club experience is highly personal, and everything one reports is dependent on one's mood and individual experiences. There's no way to be objective about a strip club in the way that food critic might be about a restaurant. So I think we could all afford to embrace the idea of "gonzo journalism" in the club. I find myself to be highly suspicious about sterile reviews devoid of the personal experience, if that makes sense. Whereas, knowing your experience was tainted by the ATF - other chica rivalry... that has value in a review I think. Anyway, thanks for continuing to explore these lesser known spots!

> The 30% - 40% independent voters will be the key, especially in ~ 6 key swing states. @minnow my take is there is practically fucking zero undecided voters in this election. You either hate the awful things Trump has done and would never vote for him, or you don't. There are virtually no voters who haven't already formed a solid opinion on whether they prefer Trump or Kamala. What will change this election is turnout. There are handfuls of republican leaning voters who are squicked out by Trump, but would never vote democrat, and it's a question of whether the Trump campaign can convince these voters to come out and pull the lever for Trump. And there's a shit ton of apathetic voters who likely would vote democractic, but might also just stay home on election day. I think that's the key demographic that decides this election, and they decided it not by picking one candidate over the other, but by making the decision to vote or not. I've been saying this for months: this election will come down to turn out. If it's a low turnout election, Trump will win it, likely by winning in the electoral college without winning the popular vote as he did in 2016. If this election is a high turnout election, it's game over for team Trump.

Hmm. It sounds like I'm on the right track to be continuing to plan trips to TJ... not that I wouldn't have fun at an FKK like sharks, but I like the party & strip club aspects of Tijuana. I can spend all day being entertained by bargirls at HKGC, but yeah, as @Captain, @Rod and @jack have pointed out, it seems like the downtime between sessions at an FKK would be a downside!

The only people drinking kool aid in this thread are the people who are going to vote for the twice impeached convicted felon and rapist who tried to overthrow our government. That group of folks meets every definition of a cult: https://www.verywellmind.com/what-is-a-cult-5078234 I'll point out number 4 specifically from that list: Unreasonable fears about the outside world that often involve evil conspiracies and persecutions If you actually think Joe Biden is reanimated or an AI, review those other cult warning signs and do some introspection. Maybe do some consideration too for where you're getting your information from. Biden has COVID, that's why he hasn't been public. Shit I'm half his age and it took me weeks to get over COVID. And had he actually died? That probably would've been the best thing he could have done for his legacy, what would have been the point of covering that up?

I don't have tons of experience with the block, but I would recommend the day-shift at Indulge, I think that's where you'll get the best and most diverse talent.

Also, what's the deal with VIP at this place? Is there one?

Getting Viagra is pretty easy if you're trying to go that route. Look up Hims or Lemonade health, both of those (and several other) options exist for doing a virtual appointment with a doc who will ask very few questions. The other option is to just go to Mexico where you can buy Viagra without a prescription. And sorry OP that you're dealing with the Low-T and depression, that sucks, I feel for you.

How good is the English on these Romanian girls?