There are certain testing ratios needed to initiate the 2 week gateway to opening up. We haven’t hit it yet. So, at least 2 more weeks of gateway plus 2 weeks each for phases 1,2,3. Only then, do things go back to normal for bars. So, late June at very earliest for Arizona clubs. Assuming dancers are willing to come in. A lot of dancers on Stripperweb are planning on October.
I will be shocked if Governor Ducey makes any significant changes before May 15th. Some employers may start to loosen up their definitions of essential workers, but I expect we will see social distancing as a recommended norm for a very long time to come. Not sure what this will mean for strip clubs. I could foresee opening clubs for stage entertainment, but not allowing lap dances.
Ducey has made public comments that he won’t rush to reopen. He’ll let test results guide him. Right now, test results suggest we haven’t quite plateaued. Arizona saw its run up in cases middle of the pack relative to other states. We will reopen in the middle of the pack. Even then, there will be social distancing protocols that will delay strip clubs getting back to normal.
I've seen a lot of reports that the Navajo nation is badly affected by Covid-19, worse than any other demographic and most states. Ducey will probably have to coordinate any AZ reopening with the BIA, tribal leaders, and govs of the other states where the Navajo nation exists. That will push back any expansion on openings in the timeline.
LW: There are several testing criteria to enable reopening. One of them is the percentage of people testing positive. As the number of tests increases, the percent testing positive should go down.
If someone dies, that typically means they have had the virus for 21 days. So, a peak in the number of deaths means the disease spread peaked 21 days prior. By the time that deaths peak, the chances of catching the virus have gone way down.
Here is the dashboard for ArizonaCovid. Keep an eye on the percent testing positive. That has dropped which means the 14 day clock to Phase 1 reopening has begun.
My opinion is Ducey is waiting to see how other states who are ahead in terms of infected population go about their openings. If in a week or two there are sensible rolling opening of business he will do it, but just gathering more info at this time. FYI: I am indifferent about the governor, but I know he has been business friendly.
It doesn’t bother me if we open a week or two later than some other states as long as it is well thought out. An added two weeks could allow a lot more testing and preparation by employers. I suspect that some other states that rush to reopen, like Georgia, will bungle their reopening and see a second wave come through.
Hope he opens up AZ May 1st. I have to travel there next week for work and it sucks being stuck in a hotel with everything closed down. Even the hotel pool, fitness room and room service were closed at the hotel in S CA this week.
It takes 2 weeks of declining numbers to start Phase 1. We’re not there yet. Then, at least 2 weeks each for Phase 1,2,3. Bars don’t get back to normal until Phase 4, or whatever that’s called, And, that’s normal bars, not stripper-licks-your-face bars.
We’re looking at July 1 at the very earliest for lap dances. If we had a pool, I’d buy the Aug 1 square.
So far, Minnesota has 286 deaths attributed to CoVid. Every death was for someone over age 70 and/or living in a long term care facility. People who are under 70, and not in long term care, have a 0% chance of dying from CoVid. At least so far in Minnesota.
If other states see a similar pattern, the pressure will build to open up.
Yea, no clubs will be open in AZ for a long long time. Totally disappointed in Ducey. Asshat should be holding daily press conferences facing the heat if he is going to force such a sacrifice
Well that just fucked up my hopes for a better work week in AZ next week. Need to start looking for a hotel with good resturant options nearby that are doing curbside pick up.
31 comments
Latest
Given the numbers, I can't see how he keeps the restaurants closed for another month an a half.
My hopeful prediction - phase 3 before May 20th.
They should count hospitalization and death.
https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epide…
https://azcapitoltimes.com/news/2020/04/…
With only slght modifications, I think he extends for two weeks.
We’re looking at July 1 at the very earliest for lap dances. If we had a pool, I’d buy the Aug 1 square.
If other states see a similar pattern, the pressure will build to open up.
Hospitalization - 1,131
Deaths - 301
> 65 yo deaths - 233
If someone gets sick enough to go to the hospital they have a 27% of death.
Terrible to quander but how many lives are hospitals really saving.