The Conference Board LEADING Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. DECLINED 6.7 PERCENT in March to 104.2 (2016 = 100), following a 0.2 percent decrease in February, and a 0.4 percent increase in January.
“In March, the US LEI registered the largest decline in its 60-year history,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at The Conference Board. “The unprecedented and sudden deterioration was broad based, with the largest negative contributions coming from initial claims for unemployment insurance and stock prices. The sharp drop in the LEI reflects the sudden halting in business activity as a result of the global pandemic and suggests the US economy will be facing a very deep contraction.”
The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the U.S. decreased 0.9 percent in March to 106.6 (2016 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in February, and a 0.1 percent increase in January.
The Conference Board Lagging Economic Index® (LAG) for the U.S. increased 1.2 percent in March to 110.2 (2016 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in February, and a 0.1 percent decline in January.
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last commentthis is way too many numbers for Juice.
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Imagine what it's going to look like for April.
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It's a Cats - astrophe
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And I thought there was no such thing as a bad lei
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maybe things will get like it was in early 2020 in 2 years
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So if things are so grave, why did we just have the strongest 2-week rally in stocks since 1930s?
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fomo.....cause the buying...........
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Randumb_and_dumber, more than anything, because the market has already priced in certain horrible forward-looking assumptions. The rally is widely believed to be a function of optimism over decreasing infection rates and some states' movements towards re-opening.
But the market is still well below its peak and nobody knows what might set it back on another slide. It took several months for the market to go from peak to trough in 2008-2009 and there were plenty of mini-rallies along the way.
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fomo= fear of missing out
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IMO, there are a few causes for the rally.
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I agree with Rick and FTS
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i think this is a rope a dope rally
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