The next 10 years
mark94
Arizona
Peter Zehain has a best selling book called “ The end of the world is just the beginning “ where he describes the changes going on in the world and what’s next.
After the Cold War ended, America continued to serve as the World’s policeman, assuring global trade was possible. It was a golden period where billions were lifted out of poverty as poorer countries became connected to the global economy. Those days are gone forever. CoVid accelerated that inevitable transition.
The US is no longer willing to bear the cost of protecting the world while allowing a hollowing out of its manufacturing jobs and becoming vulnerable to supply chain issues.
The nations of the world will return to an earlier model of national and regional economies. The countries that are self sufficient in agriculture, energy, and a working age population will do relatively well. The US ( with regional partners in Canada and Mexico ) will do well. Countries like China and Germany, who must import their food and energy, will be a disaster.
The next few years will see a return of manufacturing to the US. That will require massive capital, raising the cost of everything, but will eventually make the US self sufficient and secure. Friendly countries that align with us, like Canada, Mexico, Japan, and Australia, will also survive. Europe will be a mess, as well as most of Asia and Africa. Zeihan predicts a billion people will starve. Regional wars are inevitable.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_End_…
After the Cold War ended, America continued to serve as the World’s policeman, assuring global trade was possible. It was a golden period where billions were lifted out of poverty as poorer countries became connected to the global economy. Those days are gone forever. CoVid accelerated that inevitable transition.
The US is no longer willing to bear the cost of protecting the world while allowing a hollowing out of its manufacturing jobs and becoming vulnerable to supply chain issues.
The nations of the world will return to an earlier model of national and regional economies. The countries that are self sufficient in agriculture, energy, and a working age population will do relatively well. The US ( with regional partners in Canada and Mexico ) will do well. Countries like China and Germany, who must import their food and energy, will be a disaster.
The next few years will see a return of manufacturing to the US. That will require massive capital, raising the cost of everything, but will eventually make the US self sufficient and secure. Friendly countries that align with us, like Canada, Mexico, Japan, and Australia, will also survive. Europe will be a mess, as well as most of Asia and Africa. Zeihan predicts a billion people will starve. Regional wars are inevitable.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_End_…
19 comments
While the US has the world’s best farmland in the Midwest, Ukraine also has rich farmland. That will be a critical resource to whoever controls it.
Also, as the world boycotts Russia, they have nowhere to send much of their oil. Their wells are in Siberia and the equipment is poorly maintained. If the equipment is out of use for a few months, micro fractures will form and the wells will become useless. That will have a noticeable impact on world oil supply.
I'm going to spend my money on good food, mindless amusements, and loose women, because global warming doomsayers are never wrong.
Lol
This should free up labor to go make other things, but politicians (and to some extent unions, particularly where they act politically) keep fucking around with the economy diverting labor into dumb things.
And, yes, we will do well relative to every other nation. We are uniquely positioned with energy, agricultural, and Human Resources.
All this talk about China dominating the 21st century is pretty funny when you consider that.
The manufacturing base will see a massive increase with highly automated factories in the US, lower wage manufacturing in Mexico, natural resources from Canada, food production in the Midwest, energy independence, and rapid GDP growth as a result of investment in manufacturing.
Much of the rest of the world will be in chaos. We will have much less involvement in their affairs than we do now because we don’t need them.
People will start saying no and stand up against the very small, but vocal group of leftist progressives.