Log Normal Distributions

harrydave
New Jersey
OK, so I'm sitting in my villa in Oman. There are no strip clubs here. But with the help of my trusty VPN, I can surf the web, and TUSCL deserves a regular visit. Inquiring minds want to know, how many posts has the average contributor posted? So, being the engineer, I just spent a few minutes perusing the stats, and here they are (cus you really want to know, right?)

Out of the 120 most recent posts, here is the count:

1 - 32 guys
2 - 12
3 - 12
4 - 9
5 - 3
6 - 4
7 - 2
8 - 3
9 - 1
11 - 2 12 - 5 13 - 3 15 - 2 16 - 1 17 - 1
20 - 1 22 - 1 25 - 1 26 - 3 28 - 2 29 - 2
33 - 3 38 - 1 45 - 1 53 - 1 57 - 1 63 - 2
66 - 3 76 - 1 85 - 1 89 - 1 100 - 1 106 - 2

First, an oddity, in that TUSCL seems to put the same count on multiple posts by the same guy if they are posted on right after another (hey Founder, some sort of bug).

Second, this is a classic log normal distribution, which is found in many situations, but in this case can be described as a population that is subject to heavy infant mortality, so the average "age" is very low.

And the average? Well, the "median" is the best measure, and that is about 3.5 posts.

Lest you feel sorry for me, this past weekend I was in Dubai for 3 nights. But that story does not belong on a strip club web site.


16 comments

Latest

mrsunglasses
14 years ago
Ummmm, thanks. I think you need a strip club there, stat!
shadowcat
14 years ago
Well. there is that camel down at the oasis!
harrydave
14 years ago
I'll leave the camels and goats to the local boys. My reference to Dubai was suggestive. Those who have traveled there know it is a den of iniquity. And Oman is not without opportunities for fun. Wherever there is income disparity, there is potential.
gillydon
14 years ago
Is that the "120 most recent posts" or the "120 most recent posters" or the "120 most recent topics" ? The fact that 2 people have 106 posts each suggests it's not just the "120 most recent posts".

Also did you go through manually and count up the numbers, or did you write a script to crawl the discussion forums and record the numbers?
troop
14 years ago



Out of the 120 most recent posts, here is the count:

1 - 32 guys
2 - 12
3 - 12
4 - 9
5 - 3
6 - 4
7 - 2
8 - 3
9 - 1
11 - 2 12 - 5 13 - 3 15 - 2 16 - 1 17 - 1
20 - 1 22 - 1 25 - 1 26 - 3 28 - 2 29 - 2
33 - 3 38 - 1 45 - 1 53 - 1 57 - 1 63 - 2
66 - 3 76 - 1 85 - 1 89 - 1 100 - 1 106 - 2


^^
so which one waa me?
vincemichaels
14 years ago
Damn, shadowcat.

Camels ??

Although I can see some of those guys doing them. With some of their views on other things, yep, I believe it.
samsung1
14 years ago
Camel toes!!!!!!
harrydave
14 years ago
Oh gilllydon gets the prize for the most nerdy response. 120 most recent posts. Recorded manually with a tally sheet. The 2 posts at 106 are the same guy. As I said, there is sort of a bug in the recent reviews list. If you post two reviews, one right after the other, they will both show your number of posts as your current number. So the guy with 106 posted review #1 and it showed as his 105th review, but then when he posted review #106, his review total now shows as 106 on both reviews.

Any other technical questions? Anyone want to debate the merit of median versus mean?

As for camels, this is a society in which the Muslim women dress in public exclusively in an "Abaya", which is a black full length gown, with only their faces showing. There are no public displays of affection between men and women, and no obvious dating. All Internet porn is blocked by the country firewall, and there are no nudie magazines, and no porn videos. What is a single guy to do?
troop
14 years ago
so harry, i'm curious, do you have a feel on what the residents of oman think about bin laden's death?
gillydon
14 years ago
Oh you mean "120 most recent reviews" as opposed to "120 most recent discussion comments." So 32/120 = 26.7% of recent reviews have been written by people that were posting their first review, and 56/120 = 46.7% of recent reviews were written by people posting their 1st/2nd/or 3rd review. This distribution suggests there are plenty of new visitors to the site, as well as a good number of people that have been here a while.

If you're bored it would be interesting to see the statistics on whether the newbie reviewers give higher average ratings (at a statistically significant level) than the experienced reviewers. If they do it might be because they haven't been to many clubs and are thrilled just to see nude girls, or because the experienced reviewers have developed higher standards and are rating new random clubs from travel. If they have on average lower ratings then it might mean the experienced reviewers already have a good sense of which clubs are good and stick to those and continue to rate them highly.
Clubber
14 years ago
Haven't used this in a wile...

YAWN!

Sorry hd.
samsung1
14 years ago
nice profile pic
harrydave
14 years ago
Clubber, I agree!

Troop, the attitude here in Oman about bin Laden's death is a little detached. To understand, you have to know about Muslim sects. The sect in Oman is an ancient spinoff, called Ibadi. They view themselves as separate and pure, and they don't align with the major sects. That means they are not going to get involved in the Sunni vs Shiite sectarian violence, and they are not going to embrace some fanatic Saudi from a Yemeni family (bin Laden). I think they are politically neutral, but personally the men here seem to understand we had to hunt him down. If there is one thing common in the Arab world, it is that it is essential to defend your tribe. Our action against bin Laden fits into that well.
troop
14 years ago
thanks for the insight harry ;)
jackslash
14 years ago
I was hoping "log normal" was some sort of sexual position that I hadn't heard of.
EarlTee
14 years ago
jackslash, I thought it was an issue of how you distribute your log. The way some guys spread it around is just not normal.
You must be a member to leave a comment.Join Now
Got something to say?
Start your own discussion