Explaining winning gambling

avatar for skibum609
skibum609
Massachusetts
Bugsy Siegal and a friend are standing on a street corner in NYC. They see two men running for a bus, one in a black suit and one in a brown suit. The man in the brown suit is far ahead and Bugsy's friend says to him: "thousand dollars says the man in the brown suit wins". Bugsy responds: "You have a bet".

As the man in the brown suit approaches the bus, the man in the black suit puts on a huge burst of speed and gets to the bus an instant before the man in the brown suit.

As Biugsy's friend counts out the $1,000.00 he says: "I am amazed at you. How were you able to figure out that the man in the black suit would win at the wire"? Bugsy responded: "I had no idea who'd win. I just knew you'd be wrong".

Winning gambling.

12 comments

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avatar for shailynn
shailynn
15 days ago
I gamble a lot, I really don’t have a good explanation why. Something to kill time with? Chasing the thrill of going 10-1 on a Saturday, but then going 3-9 on Sunday?

I’ve never won life changing money, but on the other hand I’ve never lost where it hurt or I had to change other life habits.

My best advice is ignore what people do on Twitter or FB, never pay for a service, but being in some groups where people pull and analyze data can help. I was in one group earlier this fall and I made money, but the involvement was too much, I just didn’t have the time to play 75 small bets a day which was what many member of that group would do. I often asked myself “do these guys even have real jobs?”
avatar for skibum609
skibum609
14 days ago
^Gambling, if controlled, is a huge time killer. The action drives it. After fantasy football finals over 3 days, I am spent, but come Thursday night Poker League; Friday Night monthly Dealer's choice game; and Saturday's garage hold em poker tournament, I will be back in action. I am a break even gambler. Chopped a small buy-in poker tournament at the golden nugget in 2005 and as a joke told my wife I'd gamble off it for the rest of my life. It will be 20 years in August.
avatar for Muddy
Muddy
14 days ago
Some of the dealers are so quick I just always feel like I’m getting scammed. Either way I can afford one vice but not two. And I do t trust any electronic stuff, at all. I’ll still play poker with the fellas though.
avatar for Rightfield
Rightfield
14 days ago
Poker tournaments were fun when the game was popular enough that ordinary people played. They are more pleasant to spend time with, as well as easier to win money from.

Same thing with horse racing when Canterbury Downs was new south of the Twin Cities. Spending a day in either endeavor now means being surrounded by morose gamblers. They will scare all the fish away over some slight breech of protocol. But mostly, hard corps gamblers are too depressing to be around.
avatar for skibum609
skibum609
14 days ago
^ Totally understand your feelings. At poker last Saturday I sat mesmerized as my fellow players competed to see who had lost the most money in any given year. 23k in 2023 was theloser/winner.
avatar for Rightfield
Rightfield
13 days ago
I would rather blow 23 grand in a strip club than a casino.
avatar for iknowbetter
iknowbetter
13 days ago
Thankfully I’ve never been very interested in gambling. I’ve played a little through the years but never really understood the appeal. I participated in a fantasy football league for a couple of years, and played around with day trading for a bit, but often wondered how much money I could make if I devoted that amount of time and energy into a real job.
avatar for Puddy Tat
Puddy Tat
13 days ago
I used to enjoy blackjack at the casinos. Then it just stopped appealing to me when the pain of losing a grand outdid the pleasure of winning a grand.

I prefer investing now, I've been doing it 20 years, was a professional at one point as well as an independent valuation consultant to hedge funds. At least there my knowledge provides some kind of advantage. I've day traded a bit and regretted it. Nowadays you're trading against quant shops staffed by literal Stanford math PhDs with algorithms that trade in microseconds. It's a sucker's game. Most people who do it end up "providing liquidity to the market."

I won my fantasy football league this year. Came into the 3-game playoffs with the 7th seed (Nico Collins' injury and the Texans' offense generally going tits up hurt me midseason) but ran the table. I'll get a whole $150-ish from that. I don't call that gambling though. It's a game of skill as well as luck. Retiring from it on a high note because compulsively checking scores sucks up the weekend.
avatar for skibum609
skibum609
13 days ago
I had a number of fantasy teams, but my $1,000.00 buy in league is the only one I care about. I started the season by drafting Christian McCaffery with the 3rd pick. I should have just drafted myself. I lucked/skilled out though by picking Njigba in the 7th, Jayden Daniels in the 9th and Bucky Irving in the 13th. Add in Evans in the 2nd, Kamara in the 3rd and Tee Higgins in the 4th and despite all the injuries finished 5th and made the playoffs. Full ppr league and I scored 178 in the quarterfinals; 170 in the semifinals and being a good guy offered my finals opponent a cho. Since he finished first in the league, with the most points and never once scored under 150 points in any week he sad no. I managed to leave Marvin Mins and his 35 points on the bench Saturday, my opponent scored 150 points and praised be I beat the fucking crap out of him with 199 points. Between Daniles, Higgins, Evand and Irving alone I put up 133 points. $7,250.00 in 3 venmo transfers, so after poker league tonight I do believe its desires.
avatar for Puddy Tat
Puddy Tat
13 days ago
@skibum, my league wasn't PPR so it pays to have bell cow running backs. I drafted next-to-last and got Justin Jefferson (best WR in the league shouldn't slip to the bottom) and Derrick Henry (who I knew would be running angry the whole year). Then Josh Jacobs and Nico Collins. Aaron Jones in the second.

I whiffed on a bunch of later picks--Stroud, Waddle, Cooper, Goedert--but my RBs and the waiver wire carried me through. They say you lose your league in the early rounds and win it in the middle rounds, but I did the opposite.
avatar for Techman
Techman
13 days ago
I had the dice at a hot table. I threw a hard 10. The player on it doubled up. A few throws hatter I threw another hard 10. The player threw me a $25 clip. I told him to put it on with him. Two throws later I threw a third hard 10. We took our winnings down.
Sometimes a good feeling is a winner. that is why I love our hobby.
avatar for skibum609
skibum609
12 days ago
^ amen Techman. In Lake Tahoe one time a buddy had the craps roll for the ages. It was out of a movie, with the older gent from Texas at the table with his blond, buxom "niece". My friend's role was so hot and the table so insane that he began moonwalking backwards every time he hit a number and everyone around the table would bow to him. 45 minutes with the dice, highlighted by betting a $100 yo, with $50 for the boys and hitting it. Then leaving it up and hitting it again.
For me the highlight was when the "niece" hit a $25 pass line bet, no odds, got excited, started jumping up and down while clapping her hands and her boobs came right out of the tube top. Fucking spectacular. The old gent tipped my friend 20 black chips. Another friend we called exactaman said he was cheap fuck because he won about 45k. Of course I was in school, started out with $50.00 and won $ 2,000.00 while everyone else hit for 5 figures. Still the best casino moment I have ever seen.
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